NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	100		Excitement	6.1 [604]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (LAC): +19.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	94		Comeback	1.1 [557]		LVP	Steve Blake (POR): -10.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.09	0.00	14	61%	0.20	0	0.00	10	90%	0.06
Elton Brand	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.01	14	61%	0.20	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.07	-0.01	0.08	0.01	12	50%	0.11	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Sam Cassell	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.06,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	15	65%	0.11	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	13	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	3	133%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	4	70%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	10	45%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.09,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	18	63%	0.16	5	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	21	41%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	7	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	4	25%	-0.04
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	9	28%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	26.2	16.5	24.1	1.8	38.0	133.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +17.3%

LAC +27.5%

POR -4.0%

LAC +6.7%

LAC +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	POR	NBA	LAC	POR	NBA
this game	15.3	17.8	15.6	114.9	108.0	104.4
season	15.2	16.6		103.9	99.4
opponent	15.7	15.5		109.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.2	15.5	16.0	15.5	15.3
POR	19.2	16.5	17.5	17.9	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Ewing	68	67	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.05	17	-11	28	14.7	17.5	-2.84	17.6	18.3	-0.72
Shaun Livingston	42	43	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.23	5	1	4	15.4	15.3	0.09	17.2	18.4	-1.15
Elton Brand	76	76	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.34	0	6	-6	15.9	11.5	4.31	18.3	14.1	4.24
Cuttino Mobley	68	69	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	5	-4	14.7	17.6	-2.90	17.7	18.1	-0.40
Chris Kaman	60	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	4	-2	14.8	16.4	-1.64	17.6	18.3	-0.73
Chris Wilcox	30	30	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.00	10	-4	14	16.2	14.8	1.36	17.9	17.7	0.16
James Singleton	30	28	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	2	2	15.7	15.1	0.59	16.3	18.5	-2.22
Sam Cassell	61	61	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.38	-9	15	-24	15.9	14.0	1.87	18.7	15.7	2.94

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Smith	24	24	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.21	11	-17	28	17.0	18.1	-1.10	16.0	15.0	0.95
Travis Outlaw	6	7	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-6	6	18.8	17.7	1.12	18.0	15.1	2.92
Jarrett Jack	28	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.10	2	-8	10	19.2	17.1	2.10	16.2	14.9	1.39
Martell Webster	27	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.09	-1	-5	4	16.6	18.3	-1.74	14.4	15.8	-1.39
Viktor Khryapa	30	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-3	0	19.3	17.0	2.35	15.2	15.4	-0.13
Joel Przybilla	31	30	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	2	-10	18.3	17.5	0.72	15.7	15.1	0.59
Zach Randolph	63	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-2	-2	17.8	17.8	0.00	14.7	16.9	-2.16
Ruben Patterson	41	39	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.16	-8	2	-10	18.3	17.3	0.94	16.4	14.4	2.04
Theo Ratliff	56	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-2	-2	17.5	18.3	-0.77	15.6	14.8	0.84
Juan Dixon	70	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	1	-8	17.5	19.0	-1.50	14.7	17.6	-2.83
Steve Blake	59	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.23	-8	2	-10	17.1	19.2	-2.10	14.9	16.2	-1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.25,0.32,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.23,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 87, DET 81	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.1,0	93.3%
WAS 97, DET 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.27,0.21,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.01,0,0	93.0%
MIA 93, MEM 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.58,0.43,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.12,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.07,0,0	92.9%