inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 96 Excitement7.2 [378] MVPKendrick Nunn (MIA): +27.3%
Los Angeles Lakers 94 Comeback1.6 [433] LVPAlex Caruso (LAL): -17.7%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kendrick Nunn0.270,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.270.240.060.031490%0.301-0.032100%0.01
Tyler Herro0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01545%0.021-0.0210%-0.01
Duncan Robinson-0.010,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.010.02-0.030.00850%0.081-0.08667%-0.01
Gabe Vincent-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Kelly Olynyk-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.02533%-0.011-0.022100%0.01
Precious Achiuwa-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.01440%-0.011-0.0420%-0.03
Bam Adebayo-0.060,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.01-0.030.011650%0.002-0.0600%0.00
Jimmy Butler-0.060,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.012048%0.085-0.151080%0.03
Andre Iguodala-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09-0.02-0.070.00275%0.002-0.0900%0.00
Max Strus-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.03-0.03911%-0.1100.0000%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.02-0.01592%0.152-0.052100%0.01
Montrezl Harrell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.000.011264%0.111-0.044100%0.02
Talen Horton-Tucker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.00383%0.061-0.0400%0.00
Marc Gasol0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.03-0.01650%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04-0.040.03-0.060.001050%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Kyle Kuzma0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.08-0.080.06-0.100.032149%-0.0800.00560%-0.01
Markieff Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.07-0.060.00325%-0.052-0.082100%0.01
LeBron James0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17-0.17-0.11-0.07-0.002141%-0.045-0.134100%0.02
Alex Caruso0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18-0.18-0.09-0.10-0.0130%-0.122-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.33.328.813.828.23.731.5140.6
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +32.8%
MIA +0.1%
MIA +13.6%
LAL -2.3%
MIA +5.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIALALNBAMIALALNBA
this game15.414.614.4100.097.9111.3
season14.614.6109.3108.6
opponent14.514.9106.7110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.413.814.018.015.4
LAL13.615.013.716.314.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kendrick Nunn80780.62-0.120.740.369-71615.415.10.3314.714.10.68
Kelly Olynyk62610.55-0.050.600.1414-122614.517.0-2.5314.215.4-1.21
Jimmy Butler67670.350.150.210.3502-215.315.5-0.1714.914.00.87
Precious Achiuwa23240.320.180.150.0310-81814.315.7-1.3813.714.9-1.14
Duncan Robinson62640.210.29-0.080.2102-216.812.93.8515.013.91.09
Max Strus23230.180.32-0.140.1511015.515.40.1116.014.21.78
Bam Adebayo73720.180.32-0.150.41-810-1815.714.31.3814.913.71.14
Andre Iguodala49500.130.37-0.250.39-911-2015.515.30.1914.714.50.12
Tyler Herro28290.100.40-0.300.0420215.015.6-0.6113.715.0-1.36
Gabe Vincent1312-0.140.64-0.780.13-911-2013.515.7-2.1512.115.0-2.88

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LeBron James7676-0.10-0.400.30-0.4211-132414.116.4-2.2715.813.72.14
Marc Gasol4848-0.10-0.400.30-0.193-5814.414.8-0.4616.114.71.46
Wesley Matthews6060-0.16-0.340.18-0.346-81414.814.20.6115.714.90.81
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope6869-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.384-61015.113.51.5616.113.72.35
Markieff Morris3636-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.11-86-1414.214.8-0.6114.915.7-0.81
Talen Horton-Tucker3636-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.11-86-1414.214.8-0.6114.915.7-0.81
Montrezl Harrell4747-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.17-75-1215.014.20.8614.915.9-0.94
Alex Caruso4141-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.25-53-814.214.9-0.6713.916.5-2.56
Kyle Kuzma6867-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.25-64-1015.013.71.2615.215.9-0.67


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.3,0.32,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.61,0.52,0.35,0.31,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.23,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 85, ATL 840.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.33,0.28,091.4%
MIL 90, CLE 860.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.3,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.1,0.15,0.06,0.06,090.9%
PHX 116, IND 960.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.37,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.18,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,090.8%