NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	122		Excitement	8.5 [224]		MVP	Cason Wallace (OKC): +25.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	129		Comeback	2.3 [590]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (CLE): -11.5%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cason Wallace	0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.15	0.10	-0.01	8	94%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	7	79%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	6	57%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jaylin Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.01	17	61%	0.16	3	-0.13	7	71%	-0.01
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	27	53%	0.19	5	-0.17	4	100%	0.03
Isaiah Hartenstein	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.04	14	60%	0.07	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kenrich Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.19	0.05	0.02	11	78%	0.22	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.04
Max Strus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.05	0.00	7	121%	0.29	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.01	13	64%	0.23	3	-0.10	7	71%	-0.02
Ty Jerome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	7	83%	0.24	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.02
Dean Wade	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.02	5	110%	0.15	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	9	44%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.03	15	56%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	5	30%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	16	31%	-0.07	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.3	28.6	14.6	26.4	3.4	37.2	139.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +12.9%

CLE +2.0%

CLE +39.4%

OKC -3.4%

OKC -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	CLE	NBA	OKC	CLE	NBA
this game	13.9	14.7	14.4	122.0	127.7	113.1
season	13.7	13.7		118.5	120.5
opponent	14.9	14.7		110.9	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.2	13.3	13.3	16.6	13.9
CLE	13.5	13.3	14.4	18.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Wiggins	45	45	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.03	4	-11	15	13.4	14.3	-0.88	14.4	14.9	-0.50
Jaylin Williams	26	26	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.06	-2	-5	3	11.1	14.9	-3.80	13.2	15.3	-2.06
Isaiah Joe	53	55	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-7	7	13.5	14.4	-0.98	14.5	15.0	-0.43
Cason Wallace	64	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.29	2	-9	11	14.0	13.7	0.28	14.8	14.5	0.33
Kenrich Williams	26	26	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	2	-11	15.4	13.4	2.02	15.7	14.4	1.31
Isaiah Hartenstein	63	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-5	3	14.8	12.5	2.33	14.9	14.4	0.44
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	79	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-6	5	13.7	14.8	-1.11	15.1	13.2	1.93
Jalen Williams	73	76	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.26	-12	5	-17	14.1	13.6	0.51	14.5	15.5	-1.06
Luguentz Dort	71	70	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.29	-15	8	-23	14.3	13.0	1.36	14.8	14.5	0.34

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Garland	68	68	0.47	0.04	0.43	0.26	7	0	7	14.6	15.1	-0.50	13.6	14.6	-0.93
Jarrett Allen	68	68	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.26	7	0	7	14.6	15.1	-0.50	13.6	14.6	-0.93
Evan Mobley	74	72	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.20	8	-1	9	15.2	13.4	1.74	14.0	13.9	0.10
Donovan Mitchell	74	72	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.20	8	-1	9	15.2	13.4	1.74	14.0	13.9	0.10
Isaac Okoro	25	26	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	-5	17	14.8	14.7	0.16	16.1	13.2	2.90
Ty Jerome	24	25	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.18	2	5	-3	14.0	15.0	-1.00	15.0	13.6	1.48
Max Strus	54	53	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.20	1	6	-5	15.2	14.1	1.11	14.2	13.6	0.67
Dean Wade	44	44	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	7	-7	14.1	15.2	-1.04	14.1	13.8	0.29
Georges Niang	28	28	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	8	-9	15.1	14.6	0.53	14.5	13.7	0.74
Caris LeVert	46	44	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.03	-9	16	-25	13.8	15.5	-1.77	12.0	15.5	-3.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.37,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.83,0.66,0.67,0.86,0.9,0.78,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 96, DET 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.99,1	92.3%
MIA 109, ORL 112	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.69,0.53,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.68,0.91,1	92.1%
NJN 88, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.98,1	92.0%