NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	88		Excitement	6.7 [379]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +20.2%
Indiana Pacers	93		Comeback	2.5 [732]		LVP	Deron Williams (NJN): -16.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kris Humphries	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.15	-0.02	0.05	14	80%	0.15	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Shelden Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.02	6	57%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sundiata Gaines	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Emmett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Johan Petro	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	8	50%	0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	16	42%	-0.03	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.03	-0.09	0.04	24	51%	0.04	6	-0.20	9	89%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.06	0.00	20	65%	0.26	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.05
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.10	-0.02	6	62%	0.15	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	8	61%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
David West	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	16	42%	-0.06	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.03	4	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	8	31%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	5	33%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	5	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	34.0	16.0	25.2	2.3	43.5	147.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN -7.7%

IND +13.2%

IND +8.8%

IND +32.9%

IND +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	IND	NBA	NJN	IND	NBA
this game	17.1	15.5	15.6	100.0	104.5	102.8
season	16.2	15.7		101.3	104.2
opponent	15.6	15.2		101.1	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.9	17.1	15.7	17.6	17.1
IND	17.2	13.4	17.0	14.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Emmett	20	19	0.17	-0.67	0.83	0.14	1	-6	7	17.3	17.0	0.35	17.6	14.9	2.68
Sundiata Gaines	9	9	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.01	2	-7	9	13.2	17.5	-4.30	10.9	16.0	-5.10
Jordan Williams	12	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-5	5	16.9	17.1	-0.19	15.1	15.5	-0.46
Kris Humphries	72	72	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.34	6	-11	17	16.7	18.8	-2.12	15.7	14.7	0.95
Jordan Farmar	5	5	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.09	-9	4	-13	17.6	17.0	0.55	11.0	15.7	-4.74
DeShawn Stevenson	48	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-1	-3	17.7	16.3	1.48	16.2	14.7	1.45
Johan Petro	30	31	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	4	-13	16.7	17.3	-0.63	15.8	15.3	0.51
MarShon Brooks	67	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-7	9	16.5	18.8	-2.27	15.3	16.1	-0.87
Deron Williams	76	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.47	2	-7	9	17.2	16.1	1.15	15.7	13.6	2.09
Shelden Williams	58	59	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.30	-7	2	-9	18.6	14.2	4.32	15.8	14.7	1.11
Anthony Morrow	43	44	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.34	-9	4	-13	16.5	17.6	-1.11	14.2	16.7	-2.51

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.J. Price	40	37	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.37	6	-1	7	14.9	15.9	-0.99	18.9	15.8	3.08
Paul George	71	70	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.46	0	5	-5	15.5	15.5	-0.04	17.0	17.4	-0.39
Jeff Foster	32	29	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.13	9	-4	13	15.3	15.6	-0.30	19.2	16.0	3.22
Tyler Hansbrough	31	29	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	-6	17	15.5	15.5	-0.03	18.7	16.3	2.40
Danny Granger	77	77	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.28	3	2	1	15.3	16.6	-1.28	17.0	17.6	-0.64
Dahntay Jones	26	26	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.02	9	-4	13	13.7	16.2	-2.57	15.6	17.7	-2.08
Roy Hibbert	49	51	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	6	-7	16.2	14.5	1.67	16.1	18.4	-2.33
David West	63	64	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.30	-9	14	-23	15.6	15.1	0.56	16.7	18.2	-1.55
Darren Collison	49	51	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	6	-7	15.9	14.9	0.99	15.8	18.9	-3.08
Lance Stephenson	7	6	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	7	-9	18.4	15.2	3.21	20.0	16.9	3.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 98, ORL 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.58,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.78,1,1,1	93.5%
CLE 86, PHX 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.96,0.94,1,1	92.6%
GSW 107, POR 129	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.55,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.91,0.87,0.93,1,1,1,1	92.1%