NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	98		Excitement	6.8 [452]		MVP	Mike Miller (ORL): +28.4%
Orlando Magic	105		Comeback	2.9 [617]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -16.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Mason	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	11	59%	0.14	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ansu Sesay	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	59%	0.06	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.06	0.02	14	69%	0.10	4	-0.14	1	100%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	12	48%	0.05	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	14	41%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Kenny Anderson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.03	-0.05	0.08	21	49%	-0.08	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.14	0.14	-0.01	10	86%	0.29	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	14	70%	0.13	3	-0.08	12	67%	-0.03
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	8	53%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.05	0.00	22	45%	0.01	0	0.00	7	100%	0.06
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Pat Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Humphrey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	9	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	0.03	9	55%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	25.1	16.5	23.5	1.6	33.2	125.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +17.3%

ORL +16.7%

SEA -10.5%

ORL +25.4%

ORL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	ORL	NBA	SEA	ORL	NBA
this game	17.4	14.2	15.5	107.7	115.4	101.6
season	16.5	14.6		101.7	102.7
opponent	15.8	15.6		103.1	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.0	20.1	18.5	16.5	17.4
ORL	15.6	12.6	15.1	13.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Predrag Drobnjak	51	53	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.12	9	-16	25	17.5	17.4	0.05	14.3	14.1	0.29
Brent Barry	64	64	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.23	6	-13	19	16.6	19.3	-2.71	14.1	14.5	-0.37
Rashard Lewis	77	76	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.18	1	-8	9	17.0	19.6	-2.62	14.5	12.9	1.54
Gary Payton	71	70	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-10	13	16.6	20.4	-3.81	14.8	12.2	2.58
Vladimir Radmanovic	76	77	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-9	11	17.1	19.3	-2.28	14.4	13.5	0.85
Kenny Anderson	20	21	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	3	-13	20.4	16.6	3.81	12.2	14.8	-2.58
Ansu Sesay	21	20	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	5	-17	20.7	16.5	4.21	13.3	14.5	-1.18
Calvin Booth	18	17	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	5	-17	19.3	17.0	2.37	14.2	14.2	-0.05
Desmond Mason	57	57	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.13	-22	15	-37	17.6	17.2	0.36	14.1	14.5	-0.45

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	62	61	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.17	19	-12	31	14.1	14.4	-0.28	17.5	17.3	0.19
Pat Garrity	66	69	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.36	0	7	-7	14.5	13.5	1.02	17.0	18.8	-1.83
Darrell Armstrong	51	52	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.41	-2	9	-11	14.3	14.1	0.12	16.1	19.3	-3.20
Tracy McGrady	77	78	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.34	0	7	-7	14.6	12.1	2.45	16.9	20.4	-3.45
Jacque Vaughn	35	36	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.13	11	-4	15	14.0	14.4	-0.36	19.3	16.2	3.06
Shawn Kemp	40	38	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.10	9	-2	11	14.6	13.9	0.77	19.2	16.2	3.01
Pat Burke	37	37	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.34	-6	13	-19	13.9	14.4	-0.46	18.1	17.0	1.10
Ryan Humphrey	22	20	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.11	8	-1	9	13.6	14.4	-0.83	17.7	17.3	0.41
Grant Hill	65	64	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.21	-4	11	-15	13.8	15.4	-1.63	17.0	18.4	-1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.58,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.78,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 88, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.98,1	93.5%
TOR 94, MIA 101	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.4,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.72,0.76,0.96,0.98,1,1	93.5%
SEA 99, GSW 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.53,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.91,0.98,1	92.5%