NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	96		Excitement	7.8 [249]		MVP	John Wallace (DET): +18.2%
Detroit Pistons	101		Comeback	2.2 [662]		LVP	Kenny Anderson (BOS): -25.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Battie	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.09	0.01	12	64%	0.15	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Jerome Moiso	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	44%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Milt Palacio	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	70%	0.05	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	25	46%	-0.02	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Bryant Stith	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	9	30%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	0.00	16	47%	-0.07	3	-0.14	8	87%	0.02
Kenny Anderson	-0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25	-0.09	-0.15	0.01	11	48%	-0.03	4	-0.22	5	100%	0.04

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.05	0.13	-0.00	8	62%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	8	65%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	15	62%	0.15	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Dana Barros	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.07	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.23,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.03	0.02	15	66%	0.20	9	-0.27	20	90%	0.06
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	4	69%	0.08	5	-0.18	5	20%	-0.03
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	7	29%	-0.03	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.04	-0.02	8	37%	0.06	6	-0.23	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.3	32.5	15.5	29.0	2.7	33.5	141.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +85.2%

BOS -6.1%

DET +6.6%

BOS -41.4%

DET +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DET	NBA	BOS	DET	NBA
this game	14.6	13.1	15.5	92.3	97.1	100.9
season	15.1	14.3		99.7	97.9
opponent	15.4	15.4		99.6	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.0	16.1	15.4	13.3	14.6
DET	11.3	14.5	13.4	13.4	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Moiso	18	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-2	-1	12.7	15.0	-2.31	9.7	13.7	-4.01
Adrian Griffin	19	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-1	-3	14.6	14.6	-0.07	10.8	13.6	-2.78
Bryant Stith	53	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.18	1	-6	7	15.1	14.2	0.86	13.5	12.6	0.92
Eric Williams	49	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-4	3	13.5	15.6	-2.13	12.2	13.7	-1.50
Kenny Anderson	74	72	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.18	-2	-3	1	14.8	14.2	0.66	12.9	13.4	-0.50
Milt Palacio	30	32	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-2	-1	14.2	14.8	-0.66	13.4	12.9	0.50
Vitaly Potapenko	40	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	2	-9	16.5	13.5	2.99	11.8	13.8	-2.00
Tony Battie	49	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.32	1	-6	7	14.0	15.2	-1.24	15.0	11.2	3.73
Antoine Walker	101	102	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.38	-1	-4	3	14.6	17.0	-2.44	13.1	9.0	4.14
Paul Pierce	87	86	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.35	-6	1	-7	15.0	12.6	2.38	13.7	9.8	3.90

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerry Stackhouse	94	93	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.32	7	-2	9	12.7	16.5	-3.81	14.6	14.8	-0.21
Chucky Atkins	60	60	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.24	7	-2	9	13.6	12.4	1.20	15.3	13.7	1.65
Joe Smith	77	76	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	3	-1	13.9	10.8	3.08	14.4	15.1	-0.70
John Wallace	46	46	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.33	2	3	-1	13.5	12.7	0.75	13.3	15.7	-2.31
Michael Curry	81	81	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.37	0	5	-5	13.5	11.5	2.03	14.8	14.2	0.54
Ben Wallace	62	62	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	0	5	12.7	13.5	-0.78	15.7	13.1	2.62
Mateen Cleaves	39	39	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.07	2	3	-1	11.4	14.1	-2.68	13.8	15.1	-1.30
Eric Montross	27	28	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	2	1	10.8	13.9	-3.08	15.1	14.4	0.70
Mikki Moore	24	24	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	6	-7	13.0	13.1	-0.08	13.5	15.0	-1.42
Dana Barros	10	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.03	-2	7	-9	16.5	12.7	3.81	14.8	14.6	0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 90, CHA 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.95,1,1	94.0%
PHI 89, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.81,0.94,0.95,1	93.3%
PHI 95, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.75,0.88,0.79,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.97,1	93.3%