NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	118		Excitement	6.5 [282]		MVP	Sam Hauser (BOS): +13.4%
Denver Nuggets	106		Comeback	1.4 [471]		LVP	Payton Pritchard (BOS): -11.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Hauser	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.07	0.00	5	90%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	18	57%	0.15	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.02
Jrue Holiday	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.03	0.07	12	68%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Neemias Queta	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	5	90%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.04	23	56%	0.10	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.01
Luke Kornet	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Springer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	13	50%	0.07	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Payton Pritchard	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	6	25%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julian Strawther	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.00	15	63%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Christian Braun	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.01	10	60%	0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Murray	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	17	53%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Peyton Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.02	9	70%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Hunter Tyson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Pickett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Alexander	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeke Nnaji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.02	13	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	18	63%	0.11	8	-0.16	5	80%	0.00
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.8	28.2	15.8	30.3	3.4	30.3	137.1
league avg	25.7	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +13.5%

BOS +6.4%

BOS +16.8%

BOS +12.6%

BOS +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DEN	NBA	BOS	DEN	NBA
this game	15.2	15.3	14.4	124.2	112.8	112.2
season	15.0	13.9		118.0	117.5
opponent	14.5	14.3		113.2	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.2	15.0	17.1	15.8	15.2
DEN	15.1	16.3	15.0	14.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Tatum	76	76	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.03	23	-11	34	14.4	18.0	-3.55	15.1	16.2	-1.05
Kristaps Porzingis	69	70	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-2	16	14.2	17.6	-3.38	16.0	13.3	2.67
Al Horford	69	67	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	-3	18	14.4	17.1	-2.70	15.5	14.9	0.60
Jrue Holiday	65	64	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.16	10	2	8	14.3	17.0	-2.69	15.5	14.8	0.71
Jaylen Brown	77	76	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.20	5	7	-2	14.7	17.3	-2.62	15.8	13.1	2.73
Luke Kornet	32	31	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	7	-2	17.0	14.2	2.73	14.8	15.6	-0.76
Jaden Springer	2	2	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.03	2	10	-8	14.5	15.2	-0.67	1.5	15.6	-14.12
Sam Hauser	33	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	12	-12	17.4	14.0	3.47	14.6	15.7	-1.05
Payton Pritchard	37	36	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	16	-20	17.6	13.6	4.08	14.6	15.7	-1.10
Neemias Queta	15	14	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.07	-10	22	-32	17.7	14.7	3.06	14.8	15.4	-0.63

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hunter Tyson	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-12	12	0.0	15.3	-15.32	8.0	15.2	-7.23
Jalen Pickett	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-12	12	0.0	15.3	-15.32	8.0	15.2	-7.23
Trey Alexander	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-12	12	0.0	15.3	-15.32	8.0	15.2	-7.23
Jamal Murray	77	77	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-9	6	15.6	13.9	1.68	15.0	15.7	-0.70
Zeke Nnaji	9	11	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	-4	-4	14.8	15.4	-0.60	13.0	15.4	-2.44
DeAndre Jordan	35	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-13	14	16.6	14.6	2.00	17.3	13.9	3.41
Dario Saric	35	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	-5	-2	16.0	14.9	1.13	13.0	16.4	-3.36
Julian Strawther	51	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-9	6	14.1	16.8	-2.71	16.5	13.5	2.93
Peyton Watson	65	66	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.16	-3	-9	6	14.9	16.3	-1.48	16.0	13.3	2.66
Christian Braun	55	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	-1	-10	16.1	14.3	1.77	15.2	15.0	0.19
Russell Westbrook	71	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.15	-10	-2	-8	15.1	16.1	-1.02	14.5	16.9	-2.43
Michael Porter Jr.	72	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.00	-16	4	-20	15.1	16.1	-1.01	14.8	16.3	-1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.21,0.12,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 103, CHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.1,0,0,0,0,0	93.1%
DAL 110, NYK 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.08,0.16,0.09,0	92.9%
LAC 98, OKC 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	92.8%