NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	92		Excitement	7.0 [428]		MVP	Aaron Wiggins (OKC): +17.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder	105		Comeback	5.3 [284]		LVP	Derrick White (BOS): -17.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Kornet	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	12	63%	0.19	4	-0.16	6	100%	0.03
Jayson Tatum	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	17	57%	0.09	2	-0.06	12	83%	-0.01
Al Horford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.09	-0.01	19	50%	0.00	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Payton Pritchard	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	5	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	0.01	13	39%	-0.09	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.06	-0.00	9	83%	0.23	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.24,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.05	0.01	23	61%	0.26	3	-0.10	8	100%	0.05
Cason Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	13	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	0.05	14	50%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	9	42%	-0.03	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Jalen Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	10	42%	-0.02	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	26.3	14.3	26.6	2.4	29.5	128.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +48.1%

BOS -0.6%

BOS -8.6%

OKC +10.2%

OKC +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	OKC	NBA	BOS	OKC	NBA
this game	15.2	14.1	14.4	93.9	106.1	113.1
season	15.2	13.7		118.8	118.5
opponent	14.7	14.4		105.8	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.2	15.0	17.8	15.1	15.2
OKC	13.4	15.0	14.3	13.7	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Payton Pritchard	20	22	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-10	7	17.0	14.7	2.32	13.8	14.2	-0.35
Luke Kornet	27	28	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.03	-3	-10	7	16.6	14.6	2.04	15.1	13.7	1.42
Sam Hauser	20	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-9	5	17.3	14.6	2.70	14.1	14.1	0.05
Al Horford	51	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-11	9	15.8	14.4	1.40	14.2	14.0	0.27
Derrick White	78	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	-6	-1	14.7	17.0	-2.32	13.9	15.0	-1.14
Jaylen Brown	83	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.17	-7	-6	-1	14.6	18.2	-3.60	14.2	13.5	0.68
Jayson Tatum	80	81	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-1	-11	14.5	18.1	-3.56	14.1	13.8	0.31
Jrue Holiday	72	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	-2	-9	14.5	16.8	-2.30	13.9	14.6	-0.70
Kristaps Porzingis	59	62	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	3	-19	15.6	14.5	1.06	13.9	14.4	-0.50

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Williams	72	73	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.07	19	-6	25	13.9	14.5	-0.54	15.2	15.0	0.26
Isaiah Hartenstein	73	75	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.16	11	2	9	14.1	14.2	-0.09	14.7	16.7	-1.96
Cason Wallace	74	73	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.12	10	3	7	13.8	14.8	-1.00	14.8	16.3	-1.51
Luguentz Dort	80	80	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.04	12	1	11	14.3	13.3	1.02	14.5	18.1	-3.56
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	81	80	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.03	12	1	11	14.1	13.8	0.31	14.5	18.1	-3.56
Jaylin Williams	17	16	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	6	1	14.2	14.1	0.17	17.6	14.7	2.88
Aaron Wiggins	38	36	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	11	-9	14.2	14.0	0.15	17.4	13.8	3.62
Kenrich Williams	25	24	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	17	-21	13.6	14.3	-0.71	17.0	14.6	2.45
Isaiah Joe	35	33	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	17	-21	14.6	13.8	0.79	15.1	15.2	-0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.16,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.76,0.93,0.97,0.89,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 78, CLE 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.99,1	93.2%
DET 106, LAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.35,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.33,0.42,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.83,0.97,1,0.99,0.98,1	93.0%
IND 81, NYK 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.72,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.98,1	92.6%