NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	106		Excitement	6.8 [466]		MVP	Paul George (LAC): +28.3%
LA Clippers	112		Comeback	6.8 [644]		LVP	Cade Cunningham (DET): -12.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Brown Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jaden Ivey	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.01	21	53%	0.13	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Shake Milton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	40%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	19	51%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
James Wiseman	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Umude	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ausar Thompson	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	12	42%	0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Sasser	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Duren	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	12	42%	-0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13	0.04	-0.10	0.07	18	56%	-0.04	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.03

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.20	0.10	0.02	24	67%	0.31	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.12	-0.01	8	60%	0.19	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	59%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	18	56%	0.12	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.04
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.15,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	11	54%	0.17	5	-0.15	4	100%	0.05
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	3.2	23.9	15.0	28.2	2.3	38.4	132.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +35.1%

LAC +30.8%

DET -25.9%

LAC +9.3%

LAC +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	LAC	NBA	DET	LAC	NBA
this game	13.6	13.9	14.5	101.9	106.7	113.9
season	14.2	14.9		108.4	116.6
opponent	14.4	14.3		114.2	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.6	12.3	15.4	12.4	13.6
LAC	13.6	14.8	12.9	14.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stanley Umude	13	14	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.04	8	-14	22	12.2	13.8	-1.60	16.0	13.6	2.40
Ausar Thompson	59	61	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-9	12	13.3	14.1	-0.84	14.9	12.5	2.37
James Wiseman	29	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-7	8	14.8	13.2	1.56	11.6	14.8	-3.23
Mike Muscala	18	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.10	-9	3	-12	15.3	13.3	1.99	16.9	13.3	3.63
Shake Milton	28	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-4	2	15.1	13.1	2.02	11.1	14.9	-3.79
Marcus Sasser	32	33	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.03	-9	3	-12	15.3	12.9	2.47	11.5	15.0	-3.56
Cade Cunningham	75	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-8	10	13.0	15.3	-2.32	14.9	11.7	3.14
Jaden Ivey	76	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-2	-2	13.1	15.1	-2.02	14.9	11.1	3.79
Troy Brown Jr.	42	42	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	2	-10	14.0	13.4	0.61	12.8	14.7	-1.94
Jalen Duren	75	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.19	-7	1	-8	13.2	14.8	-1.56	14.8	11.6	3.23
Simone Fontecchio	73	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.38	-5	-1	-4	13.5	14.0	-0.52	12.7	16.5	-3.78

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	61	61	0.61	-0.12	0.73	0.32	10	-4	14	12.5	15.8	-3.30	13.8	13.4	0.33
James Harden	79	77	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.34	8	-2	10	15.0	10.7	4.30	13.3	14.5	-1.19
Amir Coffey	60	60	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.40	5	1	4	13.0	15.1	-2.04	13.5	13.8	-0.24
Norman Powell	50	50	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	-4	14	12.6	15.1	-2.53	15.2	12.2	3.01
Paul George	80	79	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.35	2	4	-2	14.7	11.4	3.37	12.8	16.3	-3.54
Kawhi Leonard	77	76	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.12	2	4	-2	14.1	13.5	0.53	13.4	14.2	-0.84
Mason Plumlee	26	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.04	1	5	-4	11.9	14.6	-2.71	14.9	13.2	1.72
Terance Mann	50	49	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.11	3	3	0	14.4	13.5	0.95	13.9	13.4	0.58
Ivica Zubac	42	42	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.01	-11	17	-28	15.6	12.8	2.87	13.1	14.0	-0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.35,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.33,0.42,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.83,0.97,1,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 86, MIN 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.53,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.92,0.91,1,1	92.3%
DET 111, MIL 121	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.29,0.34,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.27,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.26,0.29,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.47,0.64,0.76,0.6,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1	92.3%
SAS 78, CLE 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.99,1	92.2%