NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	86		Excitement	6.3 [539]		MVP	Wally Szczerbiak (MIN): +21.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	93		Comeback	6.2 [304]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -24.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Ostertag	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	1	100%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.00	8	62%	0.06	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.06	-0.00	10	59%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.08
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.02	-0.03	14	40%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Jarron Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	9	60%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Scott Padgett	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.11	-0.13	0.01	18	37%	-0.18	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.21	0.21	0.07	0.10	-0.05	24	67%	0.41	6	-0.19	7	100%	0.05
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	16	58%	0.13	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
William Avery	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	80%	0.02	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Gary Trent	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	12	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	7	44%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	8	44%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	2.3	22.4	14.8	22.2	1.7	29.7	113.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +25.8%

MIN +21.6%

MIN +14.7%

UTA -12.2%

MIN +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIN	NBA	UTA	MIN	NBA
this game	17.4	15.1	15.6	97.7	104.5	102.3
season	16.1	15.0		102.9	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.1		103.8	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.9	16.3	17.5	17.1	17.4
MIN	13.2	15.7	13.8	18.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	41	43	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.31	11	-18	29	16.8	18.0	-1.24	15.3	14.9	0.41
Scott Padgett	23	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-5	3	20.3	16.4	3.93	15.4	15.0	0.43
Greg Ostertag	23	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-7	7	18.6	17.0	1.52	15.2	15.1	0.19
Bryon Russell	59	59	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.35	5	-12	17	16.7	18.9	-2.22	16.2	12.9	3.29
Jarron Collins	25	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	3	-13	18.7	17.0	1.73	13.4	15.8	-2.44
John Crotty	40	41	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-7	7	18.5	16.6	1.94	15.5	14.8	0.65
DeShawn Stevenson	29	30	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.06	-12	5	-17	18.9	16.7	2.22	12.9	16.2	-3.29
Karl Malone	78	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.19	-6	-1	-5	17.1	19.8	-2.66	14.9	16.5	-1.60
Donyell Marshall	61	61	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.16	-12	5	-17	16.5	19.7	-3.21	15.2	14.9	0.27
John Stockton	61	61	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.27	-9	2	-11	16.5	19.5	-2.94	15.5	14.3	1.15

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Peeler	54	52	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.32	15	-8	23	15.4	14.6	0.84	17.5	17.4	0.14
Gary Trent	77	76	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.35	7	0	7	15.5	12.3	3.21	17.2	19.2	-2.09
Felipe Lopez	23	22	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.36	6	1	5	16.1	14.8	1.31	17.8	17.3	0.44
Wally Szczerbiak	75	74	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.20	10	-3	13	15.9	11.1	4.71	17.6	16.4	1.29
Kevin Garnett	78	76	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.14	10	-3	13	14.9	16.5	-1.53	17.4	17.9	-0.55
Loren Woods	13	13	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	2	3	14.5	15.2	-0.76	20.3	16.9	3.36
Chauncey Billups	57	56	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	8	-9	15.1	15.2	-0.12	17.5	17.3	0.25
William Avery	10	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	8	-9	11.6	15.6	-3.96	16.2	17.6	-1.44
Sam Mitchell	7	8	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	9	-11	11.7	15.4	-3.69	15.2	17.7	-2.41
Dean Garrett	11	11	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.11	-7	14	-21	16.1	15.0	1.12	21.5	16.9	4.58
Rasho Nesterovic	40	41	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.03	-7	14	-21	13.7	16.2	-2.52	16.1	18.6	-2.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.53,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.92,0.91,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 70, IND 82	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.93,0.96,1,1,1	92.8%
BOS 83, ATL 88	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.71,0.67,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.92,1	92.5%
DEN 97, WAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.54,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.99,1	92.1%