NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	83		Excitement	6.8 [479]		MVP	Zaza Pachulia (ATL): +17.1%
Atlanta Hawks	88		Comeback	8.2 [142]		LVP	Glen Davis (BOS): -20.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.02	9	58%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Delonte West	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	56%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,-0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.06	0.01	15	61%	0.08	2	-0.08	11	73%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Rajon Rondo	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	15	38%	-0.02	1	-0.05	4	25%	-0.05
Glen Davis	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.2	-0.03	-0.19	-0.02	11	37%	-0.20	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.12

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.10	0.00	6	75%	0.22	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.05
Al Horford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.05	0.02	14	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.06
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.00	14	62%	0.12	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Marvin Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	8	31%	-0.05	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	10	30%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.12,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	20	37%	-0.10	1	-0.03	11	91%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	2.7	28.3	18.7	25.2	2.7	44.6	149.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -24.4%

ATL +37.6%

ATL +47.4%

BOS -13.6%

ATL +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ATL	NBA	BOS	ATL	NBA
this game	15.7	16.9	15.5	93.3	100.0	105.7
season	15.7	16.5		104.8	104.0
opponent	15.5	15.8		105.1	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.7	15.4	15.9	14.6	15.7
ATL	14.0	19.1	16.1	18.8	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Von Wafer	6	6	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-7	9	17.2	15.6	1.61	10.3	17.4	-7.03
Kevin Garnett	51	51	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-12	19	15.1	16.4	-1.28	16.5	17.4	-0.80
Ray Allen	70	68	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.19	5	-10	15	15.4	16.8	-1.43	17.1	16.3	0.76
Paul Pierce	69	68	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.33	5	-10	15	15.3	17.0	-1.79	16.9	17.0	-0.15
Glen Davis	64	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.32	3	-8	11	16.0	14.8	1.14	16.9	16.8	0.18
Jermaine O'Neal	29	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	3	-11	16.3	15.3	1.01	17.9	16.4	1.42
Sasha Pavlovic	13	13	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	3	-11	13.8	16.0	-2.22	15.7	17.1	-1.40
Rajon Rondo	58	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.41	-1	-4	3	15.3	16.4	-1.16	17.6	15.5	2.04
Jeff Green	41	41	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.13	-14	9	-23	16.6	14.8	1.80	17.0	16.8	0.21
Delonte West	44	43	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.09	-16	11	-27	16.5	14.9	1.61	16.6	17.2	-0.55

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	42	42	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.37	17	-12	29	17.3	16.5	0.81	15.7	15.6	0.14
Joe Johnson	69	69	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.40	8	-3	11	16.9	16.7	0.19	15.5	16.1	-0.56
Kirk Hinrich	75	76	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.36	8	-3	11	16.9	16.5	0.41	15.8	15.1	0.69
Jamal Crawford	62	62	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.43	4	1	3	17.1	16.3	0.77	15.2	16.7	-1.44
Al Horford	86	88	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.34	7	-2	9	17.1	6.0	11.14	15.6	23.0	-7.42
Jeff Teague	6	6	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	8	-11	16.2	16.9	-0.77	14.7	15.7	-1.07
Marvin Williams	49	51	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.13	-4	9	-13	16.8	17.0	-0.16	16.3	14.8	1.57
Josh Smith	51	51	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	-0.03	-12	17	-29	15.8	18.3	-2.48	15.7	15.6	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.71,0.67,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 86, MIN 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.53,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.92,0.91,1,1	92.5%
DEN 97, WAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.54,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.99,1	92.4%
GSW 89, PHX 102	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.25,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.3%