NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	105		Excitement	9.5 [60]		MVP	Anfernee Simons (POR): +53.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	102		Comeback	3.7 [82]		LVP	Damian Lillard (MIL): -24.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Simons	0.53	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.53	0.08	0.44	-0.01	20	62%	0.68	4	-0.15	5	100%	0.13
Scoot Henderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	75%	0.13	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Toumani Camara	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.03	0.10	-0.08	-0.01	11	65%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shaedon Sharpe	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	15	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.07
Deandre Ayton	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	9	53%	0.06	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Donovan Clingan	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Murray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	-0.10	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.03	0.03	14	63%	0.14	7	-0.24	2	100%	0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
AJ Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.17	0.08	0.00	13	81%	0.26	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.04,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.13	0.01	27	53%	0.27	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.07
Andre Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Rollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	1	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	9	28%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	11	41%	-0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.08	0.03	5	20%	-0.09	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,-0.24	-0.24	-0.05	-0.19	-0.00	15	46%	0.06	3	-0.30	5	80%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.6	21.4	14.6	22.1	0.7	34.3	119.3
league avg	25.7	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +23.7%

POR +22.9%

POR +1.3%

POR +0.2%

POR +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIL	NBA	POR	MIL	NBA
this game	13.9	14.2	14.4	101.9	100.0	112.3
season	14.4	14.4		108.7	113.2
opponent	14.3	14.5		110.0	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.0	15.0	14.1	13.4	13.9
MIL	12.2	14.4	14.7	16.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Simons	86	85	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.42	10	-7	17	13.8	13.9	-0.03	15.2	9.5	5.73
Deni Avdija	87	87	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.41	6	-3	9	14.0	13.1	0.94	15.1	9.0	6.15
Deandre Ayton	72	72	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	14.3	12.9	1.36	14.2	14.3	-0.03
Toumani Camara	71	71	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.36	-1	4	-5	14.5	12.3	2.24	13.7	15.4	-1.69
Shaedon Sharpe	66	65	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	2	-1	14.8	12.2	2.60	14.2	14.3	-0.04
Kris Murray	48	46	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	2	-1	12.6	15.0	-2.42	13.3	15.0	-1.67
Donovan Clingan	31	30	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	3	-3	12.9	14.3	-1.36	14.3	14.2	0.03
Scoot Henderson	54	54	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.10	-5	8	-13	12.7	15.1	-2.38	12.8	15.9	-3.16

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taurean Prince	51	52	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.08	1	-4	5	13.3	15.2	-1.86	12.9	14.8	-1.88
Ryan Rollins	13	14	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.00	1	-4	5	13.2	14.4	-1.16	11.8	14.2	-2.39
Brook Lopez	48	46	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-4	5	15.1	13.5	1.62	14.6	13.2	1.40
Gary Trent Jr.	38	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	1	-5	13.8	14.5	-0.68	13.2	14.3	-1.13
Andre Jackson Jr.	32	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	1	-5	14.2	14.3	-0.08	14.2	13.7	0.53
AJ Green	62	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.42	4	-7	11	14.5	13.9	0.53	13.7	14.2	-0.48
Damian Lillard	79	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.37	-2	-1	-1	14.3	13.9	0.43	13.9	13.7	0.24
Giannis Antetokounmpo	79	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	0	-3	14.0	15.1	-1.14	14.8	10.4	4.38
Bobby Portis	57	58	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.32	-5	2	-7	14.1	14.5	-0.40	12.8	15.2	-2.35
Khris Middleton	51	51	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.49	-4	1	-5	15.2	13.3	1.86	14.8	12.9	1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.38,0.43,0.2,0.19,0.36,0.29,0.53,0.38,0.45,0.34,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 86, DET 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.28,0.21,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.23,0.53,0	92.1%
GSW 127, DAL 125	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.47,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.52,0.45,0.46,0.33,0.28,0	91.5%
BOS 89, CHA 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.21,0.2,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.17,0.28,0	91.3%