NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	126		Excitement	5.6 [685]		MVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): +19.9%
Chicago Bulls	139		Comeback	4.3 [161]		LVP	Josh Hart (NYK): -12.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0.17	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.18	0.00	0.01	20	65%	0.20	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.03
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.21	0.00	0.11	29	65%	0.16	3	-0.05	10	70%	-0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Kolek	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Ryan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacob Toppin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	18	46%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Cameron Payne	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.04	5	80%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	-0.11	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.05	0.03	12	50%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	5	17%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.21	0.03	0.05	21	72%	0.23	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Coby White	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.29	-0.00	0.09	17	92%	0.26	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	7	62%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Julian Phillips	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	87%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.01	7	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	19	56%	0.11	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Josh Giddey	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	10	68%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	38%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	30.6	27.4	23.6	2.3	30.6	142.3
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +60.1%

NYK -1.2%

NYK -11.9%

CHI +2.3%

CHI +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	14.7	12.6	14.4	118.9	132.4	113.0
season	15.3	13.2		116.0	112.4
opponent	14.5	14.2		114.2	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.7	13.9	16.7	13.5	14.7
CHI	11.9	10.9	12.6	15.3	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cameron Payne	33	32	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.13	5	-18	23	13.5	15.2	-1.78	13.3	12.3	0.97
Tyler Kolek	3	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-13	13	16.7	14.6	2.05	22.0	12.4	9.57
Jericho Sims	3	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-13	13	16.7	14.6	2.05	22.0	12.4	9.57
Matt Ryan	3	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-13	13	16.7	14.6	2.05	22.0	12.4	9.57
Jacob Toppin	3	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-13	13	16.7	14.6	2.05	22.0	12.4	9.57
Landry Shamet	37	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-12	11	14.6	14.7	-0.05	13.8	12.0	1.80
Karl-Anthony Towns	84	86	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-8	3	14.3	16.2	-1.90	12.2	14.6	-2.47
Precious Achiuwa	61	58	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-10	7	14.4	15.1	-0.67	12.7	12.4	0.29
OG Anunoby	70	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-5	-3	15.3	13.6	1.70	12.0	13.9	-1.97
Jalen Brunson	71	72	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.02	-18	5	-23	15.2	13.6	1.57	12.1	13.6	-1.50
Josh Hart	88	90	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.13	-14	1	-15	14.4	15.9	-1.46	12.8	11.6	1.18
Mikal Bridges	74	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.04	-21	8	-29	14.9	14.3	0.57	12.0	14.0	-1.97

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lonzo Ball	54	56	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.11	10	3	7	12.3	12.9	-0.61	14.9	14.5	0.38
Josh Giddey	69	67	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	3	7	12.8	12.3	0.46	14.7	14.7	-0.06
Julian Phillips	32	34	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	1	11	12.6	12.6	-0.07	14.5	14.8	-0.31
Zach LaVine	78	79	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.13	7	6	1	12.7	12.5	0.17	14.7	14.6	0.07
Coby White	73	73	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	3	7	12.5	12.9	-0.43	14.8	14.4	0.37
Jalen Smith	30	30	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	6	1	12.8	12.5	0.27	14.4	14.8	-0.34
Nikola Vucevic	75	76	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.07	6	7	-1	12.5	12.8	-0.27	14.8	14.4	0.34
Dalen Terry	23	25	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	8	-3	14.3	12.1	2.17	15.4	14.4	1.00
Patrick Williams	78	77	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.24	-6	19	-25	12.7	12.2	0.52	14.4	15.5	-1.11
Matas Buzelis	5	5	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	9	-5	11.2	12.7	-1.48	16.4	14.6	1.81
Talen Horton-Tucker	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	13	-13	8.9	12.9	-4.04	12.7	14.8	-2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.69,0.84,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.88,0.95,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 97, GSW 122	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.79,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
NYK 94, TOR 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	93.6%
LAL 100, ATL 114	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.45,0.55,0.68,0.66,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.2%