NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	108		Excitement	5.3 [752]		MVP	Myles Turner (IND): +13.8%
Indiana Pacers	126		Comeback	1.3 [767]		LVP	Bradley Beal (PHX): -6.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grayson Allen	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	10	65%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monte Morris	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.01	5	86%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Ryan Dunn	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	-0.00	-0.02	11	59%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bol Bol	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	14	74%	0.17	5	-0.12	6	100%	0.04
Devin Booker	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	15	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
TyTy Washington Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damion Lee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Bradley Beal	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	12	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Myles Turner	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.03	-0.01	17	59%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.00	4	87%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	10	59%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	112%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	5	71%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.13	-0.01	0.08	19	60%	0.05	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	17	44%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Furphy	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	42%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.6	23.3	15.4	32.4	1.7	29.2	127.0
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +11.2%

IND +1.5%

IND +22.7%

IND +14.5%

IND +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	IND	NBA	PHX	IND	NBA
this game	15.5	14.0	14.4	111.3	128.6	113.0
season	15.0	13.9		114.3	114.9
opponent	14.7	14.2		112.8	117.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.4	16.3	15.5	15.0	15.5
IND	12.8	14.4	12.8	16.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
TyTy Washington Jr.	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-18	18	9.5	15.7	-6.17	12.5	14.0	-1.53
Damion Lee	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-18	18	9.5	15.7	-6.17	12.5	14.0	-1.53
Josh Okogie	34	36	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-20	22	15.4	15.6	-0.21	13.9	14.1	-0.22
Ryan Dunn	60	62	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-16	14	14.8	16.7	-1.91	13.6	14.6	-0.97
Bol Bol	22	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-15	12	17.5	15.0	2.59	16.0	13.4	2.58
Monte Morris	45	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.13	-1	-17	16	15.4	15.6	-0.19	14.4	13.6	0.82
Grayson Allen	62	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-6	-6	15.5	15.6	-0.13	14.5	13.1	1.41
Devin Booker	72	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.08	-16	-2	-14	15.9	14.4	1.49	14.6	12.3	2.30
Mason Plumlee	44	43	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	-3	-12	15.6	15.5	0.04	12.5	15.2	-2.69
Bradley Beal	66	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.14	-21	3	-24	15.5	15.6	-0.15	13.6	14.9	-1.25
Kevin Durant	76	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.14	-22	4	-26	15.7	15.0	0.64	13.8	14.7	-0.94

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bennedict Mathurin	69	68	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.18	23	-5	28	14.1	13.8	0.29	15.9	14.8	1.12
Pascal Siakam	72	70	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.06	18	0	18	13.6	15.2	-1.57	15.6	15.4	0.14
Andrew Nembhard	60	60	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.18	20	-2	22	13.9	14.1	-0.17	15.8	15.1	0.80
Myles Turner	55	54	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.12	16	2	14	14.0	14.0	-0.04	15.5	15.6	-0.15
Tyrese Haliburton	66	66	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	5	8	14.0	14.1	-0.14	15.4	15.8	-0.33
Ben Sheppard	40	40	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	12	-6	13.6	14.3	-0.68	15.7	15.4	0.35
Obi Toppin	32	34	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.07	4	14	-10	13.9	14.0	-0.14	16.1	15.2	0.92
T.J. McConnell	38	37	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	20	-22	14.1	13.9	0.17	15.1	15.8	-0.80
Thomas Bryant	26	25	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	19	-20	15.0	13.7	1.31	15.5	15.6	-0.04
Johnny Furphy	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	12.5	14.0	-1.53	9.5	15.7	-6.17
Jarace Walker	30	29	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.11	-7	25	-32	14.8	13.6	1.20	14.5	16.0	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 93, MIA 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.97,1	94.8%
UTA 116, TOR 122	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.81,0.96,0.98,0.98,1	94.8%
NYK 88, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.69,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.8%