NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	118		Excitement	6.7 [264]		MVP	Derrick White (BOS): +32.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	115		Comeback	1.9 [356]		LVP	Anthony Edwards (MIN): -1.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick White	0.32	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.33,0.32,0.32	0.16	0.13	-0.03	20	63%	0.32	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jayson Tatum	0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.12	0.16	-0.03	27	59%	0.36	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Al Horford	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.09	-0.01	8	56%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	11	68%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Neemias Queta	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	5	80%	0.14	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	9	61%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Walsh	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.11	0.01	5	92%	0.26	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Julius Randle	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.00	0.01	16	75%	0.22	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.04
Josh Minott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	-0.00	3	87%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	12	70%	0.18	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.06	0.02	2	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	-0.04	0.01	11	77%	0.13	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	16	42%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	3.0	24.1	16.5	23.5	3.5	35.4	131.9
league avg	25.7	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +28.1%

MIN -13.0%

MIN -1.1%

BOS +34.3%

BOS +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MIN	NBA	BOS	MIN	NBA
this game	18.0	15.0	14.4	134.1	133.7	112.2
season	15.0	14.7		118.0	112.0
opponent	14.6	14.3		109.4	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.4	17.3	19.8	20.0	18.0
MIN	14.6	17.0	15.2	13.4	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Neemias Queta	40	37	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.15	17	-14	31	18.4	17.7	0.65	15.8	14.5	1.29
Jayson Tatum	68	69	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.51	3	0	3	17.7	19.0	-1.30	15.2	14.2	1.06
Derrick White	67	66	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.40	3	0	3	18.3	17.2	1.12	15.3	14.2	1.07
Jrue Holiday	71	72	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.43	1	2	-1	17.8	18.9	-1.04	15.2	14.3	0.88
Al Horford	63	61	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.36	-2	5	-7	18.1	17.8	0.29	15.1	14.8	0.37
Payton Pritchard	45	44	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.15	5	-2	7	18.5	17.5	1.00	14.2	15.9	-1.77
Luke Kornet	21	20	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	3	-3	17.2	18.3	-1.12	14.2	15.3	-1.07
Jordan Walsh	12	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	5	-7	16.3	18.3	-1.98	12.8	15.4	-2.66
Sam Hauser	53	48	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.01	-10	13	-23	18.3	17.7	0.64	15.2	14.8	0.42

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Minott	22	24	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.12	7	-10	17	12.3	16.0	-3.70	17.2	18.3	-1.09
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	33	33	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.08	0	-3	3	13.3	16.1	-2.79	17.3	18.5	-1.24
Mike Conley	35	34	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-4	5	16.0	14.3	1.70	17.1	18.6	-1.51
Julius Randle	72	73	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.43	10	-13	23	14.3	18.6	-4.24	18.0	18.5	-0.51
Rudy Gobert	49	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	3	-9	16.3	13.3	3.08	17.6	18.6	-0.94
Naz Reid	46	48	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	1	-5	14.3	15.9	-1.59	18.5	17.5	1.00
Donte DiVincenzo	49	52	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.35	-7	4	-11	14.8	15.4	-0.58	18.7	17.1	1.63
Jaden McDaniels	61	63	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.44	-6	3	-9	16.1	12.4	3.70	18.3	17.4	0.90
Anthony Edwards	63	63	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.54	-10	7	-17	15.8	13.0	2.82	18.5	16.8	1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.25,0.2,0.11,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.47,0.53,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.07,0.11,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 125, DEN 121	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.06,0,0	92.6%
CLE 109, TOR 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.16,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.28,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0	91.6%
LAL 99, MIL 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.3,0.52,0.42,0.17,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.01,0,0	91.5%