NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	101		Excitement	6.7 [205]		MVP	Jalen Wilson (BKN): +49.4%
Orlando Magic	102		Comeback	284.7 [4]		LVP	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (ORL): -19.2%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Wilson	0.49	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.49	0.16	0.41	0.08	5	114%	0.51	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.16
Noah Clowney	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	7	81%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Day'Ron Sharpe	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.03	9	44%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Cameron Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	9	47%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Ben Simmons	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	5	43%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Keon Johnson	-0.17	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.17	0.03	-0.18	0.02	11	54%	0.05	2	-0.21	4	75%	-0.01
Cam Thomas	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.19	0.06	-0.28	-0.04	18	53%	-0.15	2	-0.03	11	91%	0.03

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cole Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.48	0.48	-0.00	0.51	0.02	11	42%	0.48	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Caleb Houstan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.3	0.30	0.13	0.21	0.04	5	92%	0.30	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.04	0.03	10	76%	0.15	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.07
Tristan da Silva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.11	0.02	0.08	15	68%	0.08	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	4	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	9	59%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01
Jalen Suggs	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jett Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevelin Queen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	6	36%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.14	-0.01	10	24%	-0.19	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	33.3	15.2	30.4	2.5	37.3	144.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +69.4%

BKN -41.3%

BKN -0.7%

ORL +20.3%

ORL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	ORL	NBA	BKN	ORL	NBA
this game	16.6	16.1	14.3	116.1	114.6	112.0
season	15.4	15.1		110.8	108.5
opponent	14.5	14.2		106.3	115.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.6	16.5	18.2	16.2	16.6
ORL	17.8	16.2	14.5	15.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Day'Ron Sharpe	27	27	0.49	-0.99	1.49	-0.03	18	-19	37	17.2	16.4	0.84	18.3	15.1	3.17
Cameron Johnson	46	46	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.07	1	-2	3	16.4	16.9	-0.44	16.1	16.1	0.04
Cam Thomas	44	47	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.16	8	-9	17	16.7	16.6	0.12	15.8	16.4	-0.64
Tyrese Martin	37	36	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.65	13	-14	27	16.4	16.8	-0.37	15.6	16.4	-0.80
Noah Clowney	50	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	3	-7	16.8	16.4	0.37	15.9	16.4	-0.46
Jalen Wilson	57	57	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.59	2	-3	5	16.7	16.6	0.12	16.1	16.1	-0.01
Keon Johnson	59	61	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.53	-4	3	-7	16.5	16.9	-0.31	16.5	15.1	1.43
Nic Claxton	60	61	-1.00	0.50	-1.50	-0.44	-19	18	-37	16.4	17.2	-0.84	15.3	17.8	-2.47
Ben Simmons	56	58	-1.02	0.52	-1.54	-0.38	-22	21	-43	16.6	16.8	-0.25	15.9	16.4	-0.51

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan da Silva	63	64	0.98	-0.48	1.47	0.31	23	-22	45	16.3	15.7	0.62	16.5	17.0	-0.48
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	63	62	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.40	17	-16	33	16.0	16.3	-0.31	16.7	16.5	0.23
Goga Bitadze	62	61	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.49	9	-8	17	16.0	16.2	-0.14	16.6	16.8	-0.23
Caleb Houstan	29	27	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.37	9	-8	17	15.6	16.3	-0.70	16.7	16.6	0.14
Cole Anthony	31	30	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.10	17	-16	33	15.0	16.7	-1.67	17.9	16.0	1.97
Jonathan Isaac	35	35	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.36	-12	13	-25	15.8	16.3	-0.48	16.8	16.6	0.21
Jalen Suggs	23	24	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	5	-9	17.6	15.6	1.99	15.6	17.0	-1.41
Wendell Carter Jr.	51	49	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.12	-2	3	-5	16.1	16.1	0.02	16.8	16.4	0.35
Gary Harris	28	27	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.18	-13	14	-27	15.9	16.2	-0.29	17.2	16.4	0.79
Cory Joseph	26	25	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.02	-7	8	-15	15.6	16.3	-0.72	16.5	16.7	-0.17
Trevelin Queen	10	9	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.13	-14	15	-29	18.6	15.8	2.83	15.2	16.8	-1.59
Jett Howard	24	22	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	0.13	-18	19	-37	16.7	15.9	0.79	15.8	16.9	-1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.2,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.15,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 100, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.21,0.24,0.28,1	93.5%
SAC 117, PHX 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,1	92.8%
DAL 87, ATL 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.19,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.28,1	92.2%