inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 87 Excitement6.8 [472] MVPAl Horford (ATL): +16.4%
Atlanta Hawks 88 Comeback24.1 [56] LVPMonta Ellis (DAL): -28.2%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert0.090,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.040.01280%0.0900.006100%0.03
Jose Calderon0.070,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.090.000.021167%0.091-0.022100%0.01
Shawn Marion0.050,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.020.011454%0.061-0.0100%0.00
Wayne Ellington0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gal Mekel-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jae Crowder-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,-0.030.03-0.09-0.021355%-0.011-0.023100%0.01
Shane Larkin-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.15-0.01-0.0340%-0.034-0.0900%0.00
DeJuan Blair-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.15-0.02-0.14-0.01364%0.103-0.24887%0.03
Vince Carter-0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.2-0.03-0.18-0.011041%-0.161-0.042100%0.01
Monta Ellis-0.280,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.28-0.17-0.13-0.011540%-0.127-0.1700%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Horford0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,0.160.16-0.060.260.031357%0.356-0.19475%-0.00
Paul Millsap0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.13,0.130.13-0.010.140.001450%0.162-0.042100%0.01
Louis Williams0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.010.01860%0.041-0.03475%0.00
Mike Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.030.00233%0.0200.0020%-0.03
Gustavo Ayon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Shelvin Mack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01430%-0.0200.00250%-0.02
John Jenkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jeff Teague0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.18,0.1,0.1,-0.04-0.040.11-0.110.041464%0.041-0.081182%0.04
Elton Brand0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01333%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
DeMarre Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.040.01747%-0.042-0.045100%0.03
Cartier Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.06-0.09-0.01530%-0.082-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.42.530.215.625.31.736.3132.0
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +48.3%
DAL -3.3%
DAL -6.7%
ATL +11.0%
ATL +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALATLNBADALATLNBA
this game16.613.615.192.690.7105.2
season15.314.8109.0103.8
opponent15.315.0104.7107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL15.517.214.619.016.6
ATL14.513.615.411.013.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jose Calderon49500.28-0.781.060.058-91715.917.3-1.3515.311.83.51
Jae Crowder35370.18-0.680.860.151-2317.216.21.0111.914.7-2.78
Shane Larkin19180.08-0.580.67-0.003-4716.816.50.3512.114.0-1.88
Samuel Dalembert43450.05-0.550.590.13-32-515.717.3-1.6013.913.40.51
Gal Mekel77-0.05-0.450.400.04-32-522.016.15.8713.013.7-0.69
Wayne Ellington45-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.260-1112.716.7-3.989.013.9-4.89
DeJuan Blair5151-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.352-3517.315.71.6013.613.60.02
Vince Carter6061-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.534-5917.315.32.0412.815.0-2.16
Monta Ellis7275-0.640.14-0.79-0.50-54-916.317.5-1.1614.112.11.94
Shawn Marion6972-0.650.15-0.81-0.48-65-1116.317.2-0.8713.514.0-0.43
Dirk Nowitzki6164-0.780.28-1.07-0.61-65-1116.117.4-1.2814.312.32.07

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cartier Martin43420.68-0.180.860.622-1312.114.9-2.8218.515.03.41
Paul Millsap80770.67-0.170.840.467-61313.812.90.8515.720.6-4.98
Al Horford74720.65-0.150.800.534-3714.311.52.7816.716.20.44
Jeff Teague71690.490.010.480.2010-91913.713.50.1916.217.7-1.52
Shelvin Mack42420.430.070.360.372-1312.514.5-1.9717.415.91.56
DeMarre Carroll70670.280.220.050.2510114.411.72.7315.618.9-3.26
Elton Brand23230.060.44-0.39-0.157-61312.214.1-1.9216.016.7-0.69
Gustavo Ayon76-0.150.65-0.810.05-78-1510.913.9-3.0023.716.17.59
John Jenkins1513-0.160.66-0.820.05-78-1512.513.9-1.3918.416.32.11
Louis Williams5049-0.220.72-0.93-0.07-56-1115.112.03.1015.617.6-2.07
Mike Scott1010-0.220.72-0.940.04-910-1912.913.7-0.8219.716.23.51


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.19,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.28,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 100, SAC 1030.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.21,0.24,0.28,193.0%
ATL 102, IND 1060.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.27,0.2,0.07,0.14,0.58,191.9%
NJN 101, ATL 1090.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.42,191.7%