NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	102		Excitement	5.8 [657]		MVP	Jalen Rose (IND): +26.6%
Indiana Pacers	106		Comeback	25.4 [109]		LVP	Nazr Mohammed (ATL): -7.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.00	0.06	-0.01	7	60%	0.11	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.03	0.21	-0.12	0.05	22	71%	0.09	1	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Emanual Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	12	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Hanno Mottola	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Cal Bowdler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	11	32%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	19	47%	-0.03	3	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	11	36%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.15,0.27	0.27	-0.04	0.27	-0.03	18	45%	0.29	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.02	0.05	13	71%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	10	67%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	55%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jamison Brewer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	19	59%	0.06	4	-0.07	11	82%	0.02
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	8	44%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	476.5	1.8	27.6	16.4	24.4	3.3	38.6	588.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +23.4%

IND +9.7%

ATL -1.0%

IND +18.1%

ATL -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	NBA	ATL	IND	NBA
this game	15.9	14.0	15.6	106.2	109.3	102.3
season	15.5	15.3		99.7	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.2		100.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.6	14.0	17.2	19.1	15.9
IND	15.2	16.7	12.3	11.7	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cal Bowdler	22	20	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.00	8	-12	20	14.0	16.5	-2.46	16.2	13.4	2.82
Dion Glover	64	65	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.04	3	-7	10	15.2	17.2	-2.03	14.4	13.0	1.38
Hanno Mottola	27	26	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.06	2	-6	8	13.9	16.7	-2.74	13.1	14.3	-1.20
Jacque Vaughn	36	36	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-6	8	14.6	16.7	-2.06	14.1	13.9	0.15
Jason Terry	86	87	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.37	0	-4	4	15.8	16.5	-0.67	13.8	15.5	-1.72
Toni Kukoc	40	41	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.40	-7	3	-10	17.7	14.6	3.14	13.9	14.0	-0.06
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	76	78	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.43	-8	4	-12	15.9	15.7	0.25	13.4	16.1	-2.67
Nazr Mohammed	67	70	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.39	-10	6	-16	17.3	12.8	4.50	14.2	13.3	0.97
Emanual Davis	62	62	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.43	-10	6	-16	16.3	15.2	1.02	13.7	14.4	-0.74

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	52	51	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.43	8	-4	12	12.9	15.2	-2.23	16.1	15.7	0.39
Jamaal Tinsley	92	91	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.32	11	-7	18	13.6	20.2	-6.58	16.3	8.2	8.12
Jermaine O'Neal	76	76	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.46	6	-2	8	14.3	12.6	1.77	15.9	15.8	0.12
Jalen Rose	87	85	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.37	9	-5	14	13.6	17.3	-3.73	16.3	12.5	3.78
Reggie Miller	92	90	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.36	7	-3	10	13.9	15.8	-1.94	16.3	9.7	6.64
Jamison Brewer	4	5	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	8	-12	19.0	13.7	5.26	8.2	16.3	-8.12
Jonathan Bender	11	13	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	9	-14	18.1	13.4	4.66	10.8	16.7	-5.93
Austin Croshere	17	17	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.01	-8	12	-20	15.6	13.6	1.98	14.9	16.1	-1.23
Jeff Foster	54	52	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.12	-4	8	-12	14.1	13.8	0.22	15.9	15.9	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.27,0.2,0.07,0.14,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 100, TOR 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.18,0.21,0.32,0.21,0.08,0.12,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.58,1	93.6%
POR 88, PHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.21,0.29,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.16,0.58,1	92.4%
CHI 96, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,1	92.1%