NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	133		Excitement	6.3 [218]		MVP	Jalen Johnson (ATL): +31.4%
Atlanta Hawks	141		Comeback	343.8 [3]		LVP	Talen Horton-Tucker (CHI): -6.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.29,0.29	0.13	0.15	0.00	13	73%	0.29	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.04	0.01	13	82%	0.22	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jevon Carter	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14	0.21	-0.04	0.03	15	81%	0.22	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Torrey Craig	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	70%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	10	55%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	5	80%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.03,-0.06,-0.06	0.12	-0.15	0.03	25	71%	0.21	7	-0.27	2	100%	0.01
Talen Horton-Tucker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	6	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Johnson	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.27,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.17	0.16	0.02	16	73%	0.35	2	-0.03	9	89%	0.02
Trae Young	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.25	0.25	0.14	0.17	0.06	17	66%	0.29	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.04
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.08	0.01	14	66%	0.20	2	-0.03	10	100%	0.03
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.09	0.00	3	100%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dyson Daniels	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	-0.01	0.02	9	83%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	9	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vit Krejci	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaccharie Risacher	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	12	57%	0.05	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	31%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.8	24.2	14.8	28.4	3.4	35.5	133.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI -5.6%

ATL +25.1%

ATL +12.5%

ATL +17.3%

ATL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	NBA	CHI	ATL	NBA
this game	14.5	12.8	14.3	126.7	133.0	111.9
season	13.1	13.2		111.5	111.4
opponent	14.2	14.3		113.1	115.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.5	14.3	15.2	16.1	14.5
ATL	13.7	13.9	12.5	11.2	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Talen Horton-Tucker	46	48	0.40	-0.90	1.30	-0.01	14	-22	36	15.3	13.9	1.48	13.1	12.5	0.57
Julian Phillips	28	28	0.33	-0.83	1.16	-0.11	15	-23	38	15.4	14.2	1.25	13.4	12.6	0.86
Jalen Smith	25	26	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.08	0	-8	8	15.2	14.3	0.95	12.7	12.8	-0.13
Torrey Craig	30	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.22	-9	1	-10	15.6	14.1	1.52	11.9	13.2	-1.29
Dalen Terry	20	21	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.21	-16	8	-24	12.6	15.0	-2.36	13.7	12.6	1.09
Jevon Carter	78	79	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.51	7	-15	22	15.0	13.1	1.84	12.6	13.5	-0.92
Nikola Vucevic	80	80	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.35	-8	0	-8	14.3	15.2	-0.95	12.8	12.7	0.13
Zach LaVine	80	80	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.35	-8	0	-8	14.3	15.2	-0.95	12.8	12.7	0.13
Coby White	76	77	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.25	-16	8	-24	13.9	16.0	-2.05	12.8	12.9	-0.10
Patrick Williams	62	61	-0.82	0.32	-1.13	-0.26	-19	11	-30	14.0	15.3	-1.33	12.7	12.9	-0.21

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clint Capela	57	59	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.28	23	-15	38	12.1	13.7	-1.60	14.3	14.8	-0.59
Trae Young	87	87	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.18	20	-12	32	12.6	13.8	-1.21	14.0	17.2	-3.27
Dyson Daniels	73	74	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.26	17	-9	26	12.8	12.8	0.05	14.6	14.4	0.23
De'Andre Hunter	60	58	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.35	9	-1	10	12.5	13.1	-0.60	15.2	13.7	1.43
Jalen Johnson	88	89	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.30	7	1	6	12.4	14.5	-2.06	14.2	16.5	-2.34
Zaccharie Risacher	53	54	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.10	1	7	-6	13.1	12.5	0.60	14.4	14.6	-0.18
Vit Krejci	22	20	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.02	-3	11	-14	14.1	12.4	1.70	16.3	14.1	2.27
Larry Nance Jr.	49	46	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.01	-15	23	-38	13.7	12.1	1.60	14.8	14.3	0.59
Garrison Mathews	41	38	-0.47	0.97	-1.44	0.09	-19	27	-46	13.2	12.5	0.74	14.7	14.4	0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.25,0.15,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.45,0.86,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 104, CLE 105	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.35,0.31,0.21,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.25,0.45,0.84,0.85,1	92.3%
LAC 96, MIN 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.17,0.1,0.17,0.2,0.07,0.25,0.55,0.76,0.99,1	91.1%
DET 103, BKN 113	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.13,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.19,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.25,0.37,0.76,0.98,1	90.6%