NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	103		Excitement	5.7 [642]		MVP	Dennis Schroder (BKN): +31.4%
Brooklyn Nets	113		Comeback	78.4 [60]		LVP	James Wiseman (DET): -9.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chimezie Metu	0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.18	-0.01	0.02	9	111%	0.24	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08	0.07	-0.01	-0.02	12	62%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Boeheim	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	2	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Nowell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.03	8	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Rhoden	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	39%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Sasser	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.10	-0.02	17	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Malachi Flynn	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	21%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Ivey	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.08	-0.03	21	38%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Wiseman	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.26,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.14	0.20	0.03	10	86%	0.42	3	-0.11	8	87%	0.04
Noah Clowney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.19	0.06	0.01	7	94%	0.24	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.03	5	71%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Mikal Bridges	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	10	65%	0.05	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	70%	0.03	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Cam Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.07	-0.07	0.06	25	52%	-0.03	1	-0.04	11	91%	0.02
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.5	23.7	14.8	27.2	2.5	32.3	127.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +24.9%

BKN +20.7%

BKN +9.1%

DET -2.7%

DET -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	BKN	NBA	DET	BKN	NBA
this game	15.9	14.3	14.5	108.4	117.7	113.9
season	14.2	14.8		108.4	111.9
opponent	14.5	14.3		114.7	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.5	18.1	16.9	15.6	15.9
BKN	14.2	16.2	13.8	13.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malachi Flynn	29	30	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.04	10	-20	30	15.6	16.0	-0.39	14.3	14.3	0.04
Jaylen Nowell	38	38	0.26	-0.76	1.01	0.14	4	-14	18	16.6	15.5	1.10	14.0	14.4	-0.45
Buddy Boeheim	20	20	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.16	-2	-8	6	16.4	15.8	0.64	12.4	14.7	-2.30
Jared Rhoden	39	40	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.14	-2	-8	6	16.4	15.6	0.79	14.4	14.2	0.26
Taj Gibson	17	18	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-11	12	16.4	15.8	0.63	13.5	14.4	-0.95
Chimezie Metu	85	85	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.22	-12	2	-14	16.1	14.3	1.78	14.4	13.0	1.44
Troy Brown Jr.	69	69	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.35	-8	-2	-6	15.6	16.7	-1.10	14.2	14.4	-0.14
Jaden Ivey	62	62	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.43	-6	-4	-2	15.1	17.3	-2.20	14.3	14.2	0.10
James Wiseman	50	52	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.30	-15	5	-20	15.7	16.1	-0.41	15.1	13.3	1.72
Marcus Sasser	66	66	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.24	-20	10	-30	16.0	15.6	0.39	14.3	14.3	-0.04

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Wilson	36	34	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.30	18	-8	26	13.9	14.5	-0.57	16.9	15.3	1.63
Nic Claxton	60	60	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.20	20	-10	30	14.4	14.0	0.48	15.9	15.8	0.10
Dennis Schroder	70	70	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.25	15	-5	20	14.8	13.0	1.80	16.5	14.2	2.35
Noah Clowney	51	52	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.30	13	-3	16	12.4	16.4	-4.01	15.8	16.0	-0.11
Cam Thomas	79	79	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.28	11	-1	12	14.1	14.9	-0.81	15.4	18.2	-2.76
Day'Ron Sharpe	20	18	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	15	-20	15.3	14.0	1.30	15.6	16.0	-0.35
Lonnie Walker IV	23	24	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.01	-7	17	-24	14.4	14.2	0.22	15.5	16.0	-0.53
Dorian Finney-Smith	46	45	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.05	-5	15	-20	16.0	12.6	3.40	16.0	15.8	0.28
Mikal Bridges	62	61	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.21	-1	11	-12	14.5	13.9	0.65	15.8	16.0	-0.21
Trendon Watford	34	33	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.06	-9	19	-28	13.1	14.9	-1.83	14.7	16.5	-1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.13,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.19,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.25,0.37,0.76,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 113, GSW 120	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.33,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.1,0.25,0.54,0.95,1,1	92.5%
BOS 93, CLE 94	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.2,0.22,0.38,0.54,0.84,0.92,1	91.8%
CLE 104, NOP 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.27,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.22,0.38,0.69,0.78,0.93,1	91.7%