NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	104		Excitement	7.2 [392]		MVP	Dean Wade (CLE): +57.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	105		Comeback	399.0 [3]		LVP	Darius Garland (CLE): -38.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis	0.40	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.4	0.12	0.29	0.01	18	62%	0.41	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.05
Jaylen Brown	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	20	50%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Al Horford	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	8	44%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	9	67%	0.10	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	5	27%	-0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jayson Tatum	-0.32	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.32	0.05	-0.39	-0.02	21	54%	-0.28	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.34,0.34,0.57	0.57	0.23	0.43	0.08	11	96%	0.57	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.10	0.03	4	112%	0.19	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.03	0.03	16	60%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.01	0.03	11	62%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	10	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Craig Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.02	-0.01	8	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.38	-0.38	-0.10	-0.28	0.01	20	38%	-0.18	3	-0.21	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	3.5	24.3	15.6	28.2	3.6	29.3	128.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +65.9%

BOS -21.3%

CLE +14.3%

BOS -11.2%

CLE +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	15.8	14.2	14.5	107.2	110.5	113.9
season	14.8	14.8		121.3	113.0
opponent	14.7	14.7		111.2	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.8	13.6	15.0	20.3	15.8
CLE	14.6	15.2	13.8	13.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Hauser	27	29	0.37	-0.87	1.24	-0.04	14	-15	29	14.3	16.4	-2.11	15.0	13.8	1.20
Al Horford	39	40	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.21	-2	1	-3	17.9	14.3	3.62	13.1	15.0	-1.81
Luke Kornet	31	31	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.18	-2	1	-3	17.1	15.2	1.93	14.1	14.2	-0.11
Payton Pritchard	26	25	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.24	-7	6	-13	18.0	15.0	2.98	12.8	14.7	-1.85
Jaylen Brown	74	73	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.71	9	-10	19	14.6	19.4	-4.79	14.9	11.8	3.16
Derrick White	72	70	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.66	4	-5	9	14.8	18.7	-3.90	14.7	12.8	1.85
Kristaps Porzingis	65	64	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.64	0	-1	1	15.2	17.0	-1.82	14.7	13.1	1.64
Jayson Tatum	76	73	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.50	-7	6	-13	16.1	14.8	1.30	13.9	15.2	-1.34
Jrue Holiday	75	70	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.43	-14	13	-27	16.2	14.3	1.95	13.6	16.0	-2.44

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dean Wade	40	40	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.42	16	-15	31	14.0	14.4	-0.39	18.1	14.2	3.90
Georges Niang	51	52	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.51	7	-6	13	13.9	14.6	-0.69	17.2	14.1	3.16
Caris LeVert	58	59	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.58	2	-1	3	14.1	14.4	-0.34	16.1	15.3	0.81
Jarrett Allen	70	72	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.66	-4	5	-9	14.7	12.8	1.85	14.8	18.7	-3.90
Darius Garland	72	74	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.42	0	1	-1	14.6	13.0	1.53	15.0	18.4	-3.42
Craig Porter Jr.	13	12	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	3	-5	14.1	14.2	-0.14	15.3	15.8	-0.51
Evan Mobley	47	49	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.02	-7	8	-15	14.1	14.3	-0.23	14.6	17.0	-2.37
Isaac Okoro	62	64	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.08	-4	5	-9	14.1	14.3	-0.20	15.7	15.9	-0.24
Sam Merrill	62	63	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.18	-3	4	-7	13.9	14.7	-0.76	16.0	15.4	0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.35,0.31,0.21,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.25,0.45,0.84,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 114, LAC 125	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.34,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.26,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.27,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.19,0.46,0.85,0.98,1	91.3%
LAC 96, MIN 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.17,0.1,0.17,0.2,0.07,0.25,0.55,0.76,0.99,1	91.1%
MIA 113, GSW 120	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.33,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.1,0.25,0.54,0.95,1,1	90.8%