inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 104 Excitement7.2 [148] MVPGarrison Mathews (ATL): +41.9%
Atlanta Hawks 117 Comeback2.3 [145] LVPAnthony Edwards (MIN): -14.9%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Naz Reid0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.100.070.021961%0.191-0.0400%0.00
Mike Conley0.100,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.090.040.02692%0.141-0.0300%0.00
Jaden McDaniels0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00650%0.0100.0000%0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.05-0.05-0.01779%0.052-0.0400%0.00
Donte DiVincenzo0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.00844%0.0000.002100%0.02
Rob Dillingham0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Terrence Shannon Jr.0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Leonard Miller0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
PJ Dozier0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh Minott-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.02533%-0.0100.002100%0.02
Julius Randle-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.110.05-0.051553%0.158-0.17683%0.01
Rudy Gobert-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.09-0.03-0.00425%-0.043-0.0800%0.00
Anthony Edwards-0.150,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.13-0.03-0.012039%0.005-0.151100%0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Garrison Mathews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.420.420.290.150.028119%0.441-0.02580%0.01
De'Andre Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.090.060.03979%0.213-0.086100%0.05
Jalen Johnson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.060.070.031459%0.151-0.041100%0.00
Larry Nance Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.050.05-0.01475%0.1000.0000%0.00
Keaton Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
David Roddy00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Vit Krejci0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.03-0.00250%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Trae Young0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.09-0.040.061569%0.105-0.111275%-0.02
Zaccharie Risacher0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.01-0.02550%0.043-0.0700%0.00
Clint Capela0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.01633%-0.023-0.0600%0.00
Dyson Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.04-0.070.011045%-0.022-0.11250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.12.626.515.429.53.329.5131.0
league avg25.82.328.114.928.42.332.3135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +45.4%
ATL +11.7%
MIN -10.0%
MIN -2.3%
ATL +5.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINATLNBAMINATLNBA
this game15.013.114.3101.0114.7111.8
season14.813.1110.0110.8
opponent14.314.5113.3107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN16.214.914.514.215.0
ATL11.513.911.216.513.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rob Dillingham330.00-0.500.50-0.124-17215.715.2-9.5722.312.89.48
Terrence Shannon Jr.330.00-0.500.50-0.124-17215.715.2-9.5722.312.89.48
Leonard Miller330.00-0.500.50-0.124-17215.715.2-9.5722.312.89.48
PJ Dozier330.00-0.500.50-0.124-17215.715.2-9.5722.312.89.48
Josh Minott3231-0.04-0.460.41-0.288-212911.716.4-4.6612.813.3-0.51
Julius Randle8380-0.08-0.420.340.07-5-8314.417.4-3.0312.316.0-3.60
Nickeil Alexander-Walker6461-0.18-0.320.13-0.211-141515.314.40.9712.713.8-1.13
Mike Conley5557-0.22-0.280.060.02-8-5-315.514.41.0613.712.41.30
Jaden McDaniels4143-0.28-0.22-0.060.19-163-1915.614.51.0813.512.90.58
Donte DiVincenzo4542-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.02-9-4-515.014.90.0311.714.1-2.44
Naz Reid6160-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.02-130-1315.414.41.0213.312.90.38
Anthony Edwards6666-0.49-0.01-0.480.18-2310-3316.212.83.4013.113.2-0.15
Rudy Gobert5658-0.520.02-0.54-0.05-163-1916.413.33.1013.113.2-0.10

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Garrison Mathews55560.480.020.470.3167-113.412.80.6314.615.4-0.81
De'Andre Hunter62620.390.110.27-0.0515-21711.715.3-3.5715.214.60.62
Dyson Daniels68700.390.120.27-0.0816-31913.412.50.9416.112.53.64
Clint Capela51510.330.170.160.1376114.112.12.0216.113.82.33
Trae Young71710.270.230.030.0094512.315.1-2.7814.116.9-2.78
Vit Krejci31320.230.27-0.030.1249-515.112.32.7816.914.12.78
Jalen Johnson75760.210.29-0.080.0658-313.412.50.8814.416.6-2.16
Larry Nance Jr.48490.170.33-0.16-0.0785311.514.6-3.1114.315.6-1.25
Zaccharie Risacher43420.030.47-0.430.06-114-1513.213.10.1814.815.0-0.22
Keaton Wallace330.000.50-0.500.06-215-1722.312.89.485.715.2-9.57
David Roddy330.000.50-0.500.06-215-1722.312.89.485.715.2-9.57


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.66,0.75,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.78,0.83,0.97,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 87, CHI 950.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.36,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.92,0.89,0.99,1,192.9%
MIN 90, LAL 960.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.99,1,1,192.4%
IND 102, ORL 1070.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.48,0.62,0.67,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.96,192.0%