NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	90		Excitement	6.4 [514]		MVP	Kareem Rush (LAL): +27.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	96		Comeback	2.0 [736]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -23.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	8	59%	0.04	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.08
Michael Olowokandi	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	10	55%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	2	60%	0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Darrick Martin	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.01	6	57%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Oliver Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	22	49%	0.03	3	-0.11	11	100%	0.05
Kevin Garnett	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.17	-0.09	-0.03	20	48%	-0.03	8	-0.21	6	67%	-0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.17	0.10	-0.01	8	112%	0.32	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	0.00	4	100%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.05	17	44%	0.02	0	0.00	11	64%	0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.02	11	32%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	7	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	9	48%	-0.02	3	-0.11	3	67%	-0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.17,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.16	-0.01	-0.02	15	50%	-0.07	4	-0.08	20	35%	-0.20

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	33.1	3.4	37.5	19.6	24.2	3.6	38.4	159.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +62.3%

MIN -29.7%

MIN -1.2%

LAL +22.1%

MIN -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAL	NBA	MIN	LAL	NBA
this game	14.8	17.2	15.7	100.0	106.7	100.5
season	15.6	15.4		103.2	102.8
opponent	15.6	16.1		99.0	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.2	15.1	14.4	13.7	14.8
LAL	14.5	18.5	20.9	15.7	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Olowokandi	27	29	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-9	12	15.6	14.5	1.14	19.7	16.0	3.77
Ervin Johnson	11	11	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.00	2	-8	10	14.5	14.9	-0.33	17.5	17.1	0.33
Darrick Martin	42	42	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-8	10	15.8	14.0	1.87	18.8	15.7	3.12
Oliver Miller	11	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-7	8	13.1	15.1	-1.99	16.4	17.3	-0.86
Latrell Sprewell	83	82	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-3	0	14.8	14.7	0.13	17.4	14.4	3.06
Kevin Garnett	77	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-2	-2	14.9	14.5	0.43	18.3	10.7	7.57
Wally Szczerbiak	57	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	-2	-2	14.6	15.2	-0.55	16.0	19.1	-3.09
Mark Madsen	29	26	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.13	-12	6	-18	16.1	14.2	1.87	14.5	18.2	-3.70
Trenton Hassell	61	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.25	-8	2	-10	14.7	15.2	-0.50	16.7	18.3	-1.56
Fred Hoiberg	52	53	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.30	-7	1	-8	13.6	16.5	-2.84	15.6	19.4	-3.85

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	50	50	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.39	11	-5	16	15.9	18.7	-2.80	14.7	15.0	-0.30
Kobe Bryant	73	74	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.26	10	-4	14	16.9	18.3	-1.39	15.1	13.7	1.39
Kareem Rush	47	45	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.29	5	1	4	16.2	18.2	-1.95	14.8	14.8	-0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	70	70	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	-4	14	17.7	15.3	2.40	15.1	13.8	1.26
Slava Medvedenko	14	14	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	1	4	16.4	17.3	-0.96	16.9	14.4	2.48
Karl Malone	78	79	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	6	-6	17.7	13.6	4.13	14.9	14.3	0.64
Gary Payton	65	66	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.10	-2	8	-10	17.5	16.2	1.28	14.1	16.8	-2.67
Brian Cook	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	9	-12	9.5	17.3	-7.84	8.0	14.9	-6.91
Devean George	42	42	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	9	-12	17.5	16.8	0.71	14.5	15.2	-0.71
Rick Fox	9	9	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	9	-12	20.8	16.8	4.01	15.2	14.8	0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 89, DAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.5%
CHI 78, MIA 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.8,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.84,0.95,1,1,1,1	93.4%
CHI 102, CLE 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.1%