inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 102 Excitement7.4 [337] MVPChucky Atkins (ORL): +21.1%
Orlando Magic 107 Comeback3.0 [280] LVPJohn Amaechi (ORL): -20.4%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derrick McKey0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.070.06-0.01685%0.141-0.021100%0.01
Jalen Rose-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.03-0.011952%-0.001-0.021070%-0.02
Mark Jackson-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.00-0.02636%0.002-0.052100%0.01
Chris Mullin-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.00736%-0.021-0.0500%0.00
Dale Davis-0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.010.02665%0.024-0.09560%-0.03
Austin Croshere-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.030.00853%0.003-0.09367%-0.01
Sam Perkins-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.00520%-0.061-0.0300%0.00
Reggie Miller-0.090,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.00854%-0.053-0.05887%0.00
Travis Best-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.05-0.050.00450%-0.012-0.094100%0.03
Rik Smits-0.110,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11-0.05-0.06-0.00867%0.035-0.14580%0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.210.210.080.13-0.001068%0.2100.00580%0.01
Pat Garrity0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.100.100.001269%0.221-0.022100%0.02
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.05-0.00375%0.091-0.022100%0.02
Monty Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.03-0.01667%0.081-0.03667%-0.00
Bo Outlaw0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.010.01380%0.021-0.02450%-0.03
Ben Wallace0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.01727%-0.042-0.0710%-0.02
Corey Maggette0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.07-0.030.01350%-0.043-0.08475%-0.00
Darrell Armstrong0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.08-0.05-0.01942%-0.062-0.076100%0.04
Ron Mercer0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.09-0.05-0.011233%-0.062-0.0800%0.00
John Amaechi0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.14-0.06-0.011544%-0.123-0.091338%-0.10
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.12.431.415.428.61.737.4145.0
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +34.3%
IND -1.9%
ORL +8.0%
ORL +13.3%
IND -3.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDORLNBAINDORLNBA
this game15.412.215.297.1103.9101.7
season15.413.6106.5100.4
opponent15.415.199.3101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND15.714.816.015.115.4
ORL10.812.812.113.212.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Austin Croshere55550.03-0.530.56-0.146-111714.916.1-1.1912.611.70.89
Sam Perkins2727-0.03-0.470.44-0.185-101515.015.6-0.5413.711.72.01
Mark Jackson5553-0.14-0.360.230.04-61-715.815.10.7211.413.1-1.63
Rik Smits4140-0.20-0.300.110.01-72-916.414.81.6011.612.6-1.06
Reggie Miller8887-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.20-2-3115.216.5-1.2312.112.9-0.77
Dale Davis6663-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.08-61-715.515.30.2111.114.0-2.90
Chris Mullin1919-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.10-83-1115.515.40.0411.712.3-0.66
Travis Best5252-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.484-91314.816.1-1.2512.711.70.95
Derrick McKey4949-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.30-50-515.515.40.1713.311.32.03
Jalen Rose7370-0.500.00-0.51-0.33-61-715.814.71.0312.511.60.91

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Monty Williams53510.66-0.160.810.486-1713.510.92.6514.716.2-1.50
Chucky Atkins46450.50-0.000.500.4714-313.111.51.6414.815.9-1.16
Corey Maggette36370.470.030.430.4414-314.411.03.3715.215.5-0.30
Pat Garrity51510.360.140.230.3314-313.910.63.2914.716.2-1.50
Michael Doleac31320.290.210.080.2032112.412.10.2815.215.6-0.41
John Amaechi68700.270.230.030.1541312.711.31.4215.914.51.47
Ron Mercer65670.050.45-0.39-0.126-1710.714.8-4.1115.814.90.89
Darrell Armstrong6162-0.010.51-0.52-0.0723-110.914.1-3.2415.715.10.62
Bo Outlaw4649-0.020.52-0.53-0.1032111.113.1-2.0116.114.91.24
Ben Wallace5861-0.070.57-0.64-0.01-27-910.814.0-3.2315.815.00.79


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.48,0.62,0.67,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 109, PHI 1190.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,192.7%
SAC 107, ATL 1240.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.68,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.33,0.38,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.71,0.73,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,192.4%
MIN 90, LAL 960.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.99,1,1,192.3%