NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	107		Excitement	6.5 [523]		MVP	Kyle Korver (ATL): +37.9%
Atlanta Hawks	124		Comeback	2.1 [772]		LVP	Travis Outlaw (SAC): -6.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Williams	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.08	-0.02	8	60%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
DeMarcus Cousins	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.04	0.02	20	57%	0.15	4	-0.07	9	89%	0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	15	61%	0.15	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Rudy Gay	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	13	65%	0.13	3	-0.05	8	75%	-0.00
Ben McLemore	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	6	83%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	56%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray McCallum	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamady Ndiaye	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	31%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Aaron Gray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.33,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.28	0.15	0.05	15	93%	0.38	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.10	0.11	-0.02	5	100%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	9	75%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.05	0.00	4	60%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Al Horford	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.03	0.03	19	62%	0.13	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	10	58%	0.06	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
John Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pero Antic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	11	64%	0.14	6	-0.18	6	83%	0.01
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.8	27.4	15.4	27.3	1.7	28.3	126.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +62.9%

SAC -12.3%

ATL +14.8%

SAC -14.0%

SAC -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	ATL	NBA	SAC	ATL	NBA
this game	15.2	13.6	15.1	108.1	122.8	105.2
season	15.4	14.8		104.5	103.8
opponent	15.3	14.7		104.7	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.7	14.4	14.3	16.3	15.2
ATL	12.6	13.8	14.5	13.7	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray McCallum	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-17	17	11.0	15.2	-4.22	12.5	13.7	-1.16
Hamady Ndiaye	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-17	17	11.0	15.2	-4.22	12.5	13.7	-1.16
Jason Thompson	41	42	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-14	11	15.3	15.1	0.27	13.2	13.9	-0.68
DeMarcus Cousins	73	72	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.17	-8	-9	1	15.3	15.0	0.30	13.7	13.5	0.21
Isaiah Thomas	80	82	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.11	-8	-9	1	14.4	18.5	-4.07	13.6	13.7	-0.06
Aaron Gray	14	13	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	-10	3	14.6	15.3	-0.71	14.1	13.6	0.51
Ben McLemore	71	73	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.16	-14	-3	-11	14.7	16.4	-1.74	13.7	13.4	0.33
Travis Outlaw	29	30	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-14	11	16.2	14.7	1.50	13.3	13.8	-0.43
Quincy Acy	40	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-16	15	15.7	14.8	0.95	13.7	13.6	0.18
Jimmer Fredette	18	17	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-8	-1	18.9	14.4	4.53	13.8	13.6	0.23
Derrick Williams	52	53	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	-5	-7	15.0	15.4	-0.42	14.1	13.1	0.93
Rudy Gay	75	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.11	-20	3	-23	15.1	15.5	-0.42	13.4	14.3	-0.92

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	74	74	0.75	-0.25	1.00	-0.10	29	-12	41	13.8	13.3	0.46	16.2	12.3	3.88
Mike Scott	39	38	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.04	22	-5	27	13.9	13.5	0.39	16.4	14.4	2.05
DeMarre Carroll	75	74	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.26	22	-5	27	13.5	13.9	-0.39	14.6	17.0	-2.38
Shelvin Mack	34	32	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	14	-11	13.6	13.7	-0.11	16.3	14.6	1.67
Pero Antic	11	12	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	10	-3	12.9	13.7	-0.81	16.4	15.0	1.41
Al Horford	65	62	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.21	15	2	13	13.6	13.8	-0.22	15.8	14.2	1.54
Jeff Teague	67	67	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.24	14	3	11	13.7	13.6	0.11	14.6	16.3	-1.67
Louis Williams	42	42	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.23	-5	22	-27	13.5	13.7	-0.15	15.1	15.2	-0.07
Elton Brand	27	26	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	22	-27	14.0	13.5	0.55	13.1	15.9	-2.85
Paul Millsap	62	61	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.03	-5	22	-27	13.5	13.9	-0.39	14.4	16.4	-2.05
John Jenkins	9	7	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.14	-12	29	-41	14.1	13.6	0.52	12.0	15.4	-3.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.68,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.33,0.38,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.71,0.73,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 75, ATL 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.78,0.88,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.2%
SEA 98, PHI 117	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.67,0.76,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.0%
MIL 109, UTA 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.0%