NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	97		Excitement	5.5 [284]		MVP	Quentin Grimes (DAL): +19.9%
Dallas Mavericks	113		Comeback	1.1 [352]		LVP	James Harden (LAC): -15.9%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Porter Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.01	12	73%	0.13	4	-0.06	2	50%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	7	64%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	59%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Nicolas Batum	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jordan Miller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kai Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Coffey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.06	-0.03	0.07	22	52%	-0.01	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.03
Derrick Jones Jr.	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	6	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mo Bamba	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	18	46%	-0.02	7	-0.13	5	100%	0.03

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.20	0.03	0.03	8	105%	0.23	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.03	0.03	9	89%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dereck Lively II	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.02	6	85%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Naji Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	8	67%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	5	76%	0.11	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.03	0.02	13	47%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Dwight Powell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jazian Gortman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kessler Edwards	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.15	0.02	-0.06	25	29%	-0.07	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
P.J. Washington	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	11	45%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	30.2	15.2	23.4	2.5	31.5	129.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +37.0%

DAL +1.9%

DAL +6.5%

DAL +5.2%

LAC -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DAL	NBA	LAC	DAL	NBA
this game	14.4	15.6	14.3	100.0	118.9	112.0
season	15.0	14.0		108.8	115.9
opponent	14.6	14.0		111.1	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.0	15.6	15.9	12.0	14.4
DAL	15.4	14.4	14.1	18.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Miller	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-12	8	9.0	14.6	-5.56	25.5	15.4	10.09
Kai Jones	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-12	8	9.0	14.6	-5.56	25.5	15.4	10.09
Derrick Jones Jr.	36	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-13	10	15.6	13.7	1.85	14.3	16.4	-2.16
Ivica Zubac	69	69	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-14	12	13.9	15.5	-1.56	15.6	15.7	-0.05
James Harden	76	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-12	8	13.9	16.3	-2.42	15.3	16.8	-1.46
Kris Dunn	69	67	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	-8	0	13.6	16.3	-2.71	16.2	14.3	1.84
Amir Coffey	42	41	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	-7	-2	14.9	14.0	0.95	15.7	15.5	0.19
Mo Bamba	20	19	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-6	-4	16.5	13.8	2.72	14.2	16.0	-1.83
Nicolas Batum	29	29	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-8	0	16.0	13.7	2.24	14.6	16.1	-1.44
Kevin Porter Jr.	55	53	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	0	-16	14.0	14.9	-0.95	16.3	14.8	1.54
Norman Powell	83	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.14	-12	-4	-8	14.7	12.5	2.21	15.8	14.5	1.28

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Grimes	48	49	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	3	10	15.0	16.3	-1.30	15.8	12.9	2.88
Kyrie Irving	75	77	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.00	12	4	8	16.2	13.6	2.56	13.8	16.7	-2.97
Dereck Lively II	57	58	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	3	10	16.0	15.1	0.95	14.4	14.3	0.10
P.J. Washington	74	74	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	10	-4	15.4	16.4	-0.98	14.4	14.2	0.23
Spencer Dinwiddie	58	61	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.03	10	6	4	14.8	16.8	-1.99	14.3	14.6	-0.26
Naji Marshall	43	44	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.07	6	10	-4	14.7	16.4	-1.73	14.6	14.2	0.32
Klay Thompson	46	46	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.16	13	3	10	16.5	14.8	1.70	14.0	14.8	-0.79
Maxi Kleber	33	34	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	12	-8	16.4	15.2	1.23	14.4	14.4	0.03
Daniel Gafford	37	38	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	13	-10	14.8	16.1	-1.33	14.4	14.4	0.05
Dwight Powell	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	24.0	15.5	8.47	11.0	14.4	-3.43
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	24.0	15.5	8.47	11.0	14.4	-3.43
Jazian Gortman	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	24.0	15.5	8.47	11.0	14.4	-3.43
Kessler Edwards	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	24.0	15.5	8.47	11.0	14.4	-3.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.76,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.87,0.78,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 101, CLE 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.95,0.99,1	94.8%
CHI 83, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
IND 71, BOS 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.9,0.86,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%