inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 83 Excitement4.5 [922] MVPLuol Deng (CHI): +10.3%
San Antonio Spurs 100 Comeback1.1 [1184] LVPAndres Nocioni (CHI): -15.2%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luol Deng0.100,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.11-0.01-0.00978%0.1000.0000%0.00
P.J. Brown0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.00-0.00669%0.0700.001100%0.00
Ben Gordon0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.02-0.021662%0.177-0.152100%0.01
Michael Sweetney0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Chris Duhon-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.05-0.010.07679%0.022-0.05250%-0.01
Malik Allen-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.01633%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Viktor Khryapa-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.02425%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Kirk Hinrich-0.110,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.010.01846%-0.005-0.111060%-0.03
Ben Wallace-0.150,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.09-0.050.01537%-0.063-0.09633%-0.07
Andres Nocioni-0.150,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.16-0.02-0.031010%-0.122-0.0400%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.01-0.05762%0.122-0.05250%-0.01
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.00769%0.072-0.03250%-0.01
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.030.00-0.05437%0.031-0.0000%0.00
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.020.00667%0.072-0.0400%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.010.021566%0.155-0.12250%-0.01
Francisco Elson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.01475%0.042-0.0200%0.00
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.08-0.010.07974%0.011-0.001100%0.01
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Fabricio Oberto0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.00250%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.01668%0.074-0.107100%0.03
Manu Ginobili0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01633%-0.0300.003100%0.01
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01650%-0.013-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.32.428.516.326.51.724.3128.1
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +28.0%
SAS +8.0%
CHI -1.6%
SAS +8.5%
SAS +7.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHISASNBACHISASNBA
this game13.915.315.484.7101.0104.5
season14.516.2103.1107.5
opponent15.415.998.998.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI13.513.715.213.613.9
SAS14.214.616.116.315.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Thabo Sefolosha10100.07-0.570.64-0.023-20239.914.4-4.5118.614.93.69
Michael Sweetney56-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-171710.814.1-3.3222.014.87.15
Viktor Khryapa4242-0.05-0.450.41-0.02-1-161513.514.3-0.8715.415.20.25
Malik Allen3739-0.09-0.410.330.09-6-11513.514.2-0.7015.515.20.29
P.J. Brown3938-0.17-0.330.16-0.03-5-12713.814.1-0.2616.314.71.59
Ben Gordon5251-0.29-0.21-0.070.04-11-6-513.514.4-0.8716.014.61.40
Andres Nocioni5455-0.33-0.17-0.160.02-12-5-714.413.50.9013.917.0-3.17
Chris Duhon6265-0.35-0.15-0.210.06-14-3-1114.612.91.7214.716.4-1.63
Ben Wallace6160-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.09-11-6-514.213.50.7015.215.5-0.29
Kirk Hinrich7373-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.02-14-3-1114.213.21.0614.716.8-2.12
Luol Deng5556-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.04-14-3-1114.413.40.9915.315.20.13

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Duncan65670.420.080.34-0.021521315.015.7-0.6914.113.70.35
Michael Finley49490.300.200.110.0789-115.215.3-0.0813.814.1-0.35
Manu Ginobili51500.280.220.060.0298113.217.5-4.3814.913.01.94
Brent Barry43410.240.26-0.030.0089-117.513.63.8612.914.7-1.84
Tony Parker52520.230.27-0.030.06611-515.215.3-0.0714.213.70.56
Beno Udrih49490.220.28-0.05-0.0498115.415.10.2913.714.2-0.59
Bruce Bowen47480.220.28-0.06-0.10116514.715.8-1.1914.413.50.88
Robert Horry42400.210.29-0.080.06512-714.515.9-1.4014.313.70.59
Fabricio Oberto26250.190.31-0.110.02611-513.915.8-1.9015.613.42.27
Francisco Elson37370.120.38-0.27-0.03512-717.014.22.7913.514.2-0.70
Matt Bonner28270.060.44-0.38-0.03314-1116.015.01.0512.214.6-2.43
Jacque Vaughn650.000.50-0.500.00017-1722.014.87.1510.814.1-3.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 105, UTA 1180.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.91,0.96,1,1,1,1,195.6%
VAN 86, IND 1050.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
CHI 91, DET 1120.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%