inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 114 Excitement5.1 [315] MVPGoga Bitadze (ORL): +31.4%
Orlando Magic 121 Comeback177.6 [7] LVPJett Howard (ORL): -15.2%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kel'el Ware0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.080.000.034100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Duncan Robinson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.040.040.00-0.00762%0.0410.002100%0.01
Terry Rozier0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.010.12-0.080.031564%0.0100.00683%-0.04
Haywood Highsmith0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nikola Jovic-0.020,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.01340%-0.0200.004100%0.01
Pelle Larsson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.040.01271%0.031-0.053100%0.01
Jaime Jaquez Jr.-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.080.01-0.03442%0.013-0.05475%-0.01
Tyler Herro-0.070,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.09-0.051754%-0.024-0.05771%0.02
Bam Adebayo-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08-0.00-0.060.011556%-0.034-0.051164%-0.02
Dru Smith-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.1,-0.10.06-0.130.03867%-0.091-0.01580%-0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Goga Bitadze0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.310.310.180.170.04895%0.3100.00367%-0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.180.060.111075%0.1300.0012100%0.02
Cole Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.02,-0.1,0.02,0.050.050.150.030.132561%0.102-0.057100%0.03
Trevelin Queen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.00487%0.061-0.0100%0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.01-0.02550%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01550%0.0200.0000%0.00
Tristan da Silva0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.000.02750%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Caleb Houstan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.0330%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Moritz Wagner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Anthony Black0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.000.00767%0.045-0.071100%0.00
Jonathan Isaac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.080.00-0.0240%-0.0600.0020%-0.01
Jett Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.04-0.080.04950%-0.053-0.1000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game33.22.435.514.727.22.333.3148.6
league avg25.82.328.114.928.42.332.3134.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +60.2%
MIA -2.5%
ORL +2.0%
MIA -7.4%
MIA -2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAORLNBAMIAORLNBA
this game13.914.914.3112.9122.2112.0
season14.815.1112.5108.5
opponent14.514.6106.3110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA11.613.514.216.613.9
ORL15.016.015.213.414.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kel'el Ware31290.43-0.931.35-0.3426-335911.914.8-2.9015.714.61.12
Jaime Jaquez Jr.37350.33-0.831.150.156-131914.113.80.3115.614.51.04
Duncan Robinson56530.04-0.540.580.28-81-913.914.0-0.1215.614.01.60
Haywood Highsmith14130.02-0.520.540.05-1-6513.614.0-0.3113.715.1-1.39
Nikola Jovic4041-0.02-0.480.47-0.020-7713.614.1-0.4315.114.70.42
Terry Rozier7169-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.431-8913.714.5-0.7915.014.70.33
Pelle Larsson4747-0.520.02-0.54-0.46-2-5314.713.21.5215.314.60.68
Tyler Herro8281-0.620.12-0.73-0.47-5-2-313.814.5-0.7614.516.6-2.02
Dru Smith5656-0.820.32-1.14-0.32-1710-2714.213.60.5614.116.0-1.86
Bam Adebayo7171-0.950.45-1.400.08-3528-6314.612.32.2914.515.9-1.44

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trevelin Queen35370.95-0.451.400.1627-204713.415.7-2.3616.112.73.42
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope73760.74-0.240.970.3513-61915.114.30.8013.914.0-0.12
Cole Anthony57580.72-0.220.940.1619-123114.415.6-1.2114.912.52.40
Goga Bitadze63640.61-0.110.710.66-29-1115.214.30.9314.113.50.58
Cory Joseph51510.54-0.040.580.4243114.815.0-0.2813.314.6-1.29
Jett Howard2928-0.010.51-0.51-0.1861512.815.8-3.0314.513.70.77
Tristan da Silva5960-0.100.60-0.70-0.1934-114.815.0-0.1313.514.5-1.01
Wendell Carter Jr.2827-0.110.61-0.730.12-815-2316.514.32.2812.014.6-2.61
Jonathan Isaac3639-0.150.65-0.79-0.388-1914.215.3-1.1513.614.1-0.52
Caleb Houstan2324-0.180.68-0.850.09-916-2518.013.94.1012.214.5-2.29
Moritz Wagner44-0.200.70-0.900.06-916-2515.214.90.3711.214.0-2.77
Anthony Black3839-0.300.80-1.100.14-1522-3715.214.70.5113.714.1-0.40


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.37,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.37,0.55,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 103, GSW 1120.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.2,0.13,0.25,0.63,0.85,0.92,190.5%
OKC 98, LAC 1030.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.72,190.0%
CHA 100, POR 1020.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.16,0.21,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.33,0.25,0.54,0.76,0.82,189.9%