NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	100		Excitement	6.2 [570]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +22.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	102		Comeback	22.9 [102]		LVP	Lance Stephenson (CHA): -16.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
PJ Hairston	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	4	80%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gary Neal	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.02	7	53%	0.07	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.04
Al Jefferson	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.01	18	55%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Brian Roberts	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.02	7	75%	0.12	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	58%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	16	44%	-0.08	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Lance Stephenson	-0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.16	0.02	-0.19	-0.00	10	58%	0.01	2	-0.18	4	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.23	0.23	0.08	0.15	0.01	21	53%	0.23	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.08	-0.01	5	42%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.03	21	69%	0.15	6	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.02	10	60%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joel Freeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Allen Crabbe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14	-0.14	0.00	-0.09	0.05	15	46%	-0.09	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.3	27.7	15.5	22.4	1.6	35.0	128.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +16.2%

CHA -15.0%

POR +31.7%

POR +10.4%

POR +6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	POR	NBA	CHA	POR	NBA
this game	15.2	14.8	15.1	104.2	106.2	104.2
season	15.6	15.3		98.9	106.5
opponent	15.0	15.1		102.7	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.4	13.2	18.0	16.6	15.2
POR	15.4	15.0	13.3	15.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Hairston	31	29	0.28	-0.78	1.05	0.01	9	-11	20	13.9	15.9	-2.01	12.9	15.6	-2.69
Marvin Williams	44	42	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.07	8	-10	18	15.5	15.0	0.46	14.3	15.1	-0.78
Brian Roberts	28	28	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.05	1	-3	4	13.6	15.9	-2.24	12.9	15.6	-2.70
Jason Maxiell	28	28	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.02	2	-4	6	13.6	15.9	-2.34	12.7	15.6	-2.95
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	40	40	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.16	-7	5	-12	15.5	15.0	0.55	15.4	14.3	1.04
Lance Stephenson	76	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.66	10	-12	22	15.1	15.7	-0.59	15.3	13.0	2.27
Kemba Walker	68	68	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.49	-3	1	-4	15.9	13.6	2.24	15.6	12.9	2.70
Al Jefferson	66	68	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.54	-2	0	-2	16.3	12.8	3.53	15.6	12.7	2.95
Cody Zeller	53	54	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.33	-10	8	-18	14.8	15.8	-0.97	15.1	14.3	0.78
Gary Neal	46	50	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.35	-18	16	-34	15.8	14.7	1.02	14.6	15.0	-0.40

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Freeland	32	32	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.64	5	-3	8	15.3	14.5	0.77	15.4	15.1	0.27
Wesley Matthews	69	69	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.48	5	-3	8	15.6	12.7	2.82	15.2	15.4	-0.20
LaMarcus Aldridge	75	75	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.41	6	-4	10	15.0	13.8	1.23	15.8	13.2	2.55
Steve Blake	52	51	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.61	-1	3	-4	14.4	15.2	-0.88	15.0	15.5	-0.49
Damian Lillard	74	74	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.49	-3	5	-8	15.6	11.8	3.83	15.6	13.8	1.83
Allen Crabbe	43	44	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.25	10	-8	18	14.8	14.8	-0.01	16.1	14.5	1.63
CJ McCollum	37	39	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.16	5	-3	8	12.2	16.4	-4.11	14.4	15.8	-1.38
Chris Kaman	40	38	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	6	-10	13.0	16.0	-2.99	14.4	15.8	-1.42
Dorell Wright	13	13	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.09	-8	10	-18	14.4	14.8	-0.45	11.5	15.8	-4.36
Robin Lopez	45	45	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.08	-5	7	-12	15.5	14.1	1.39	15.5	15.0	0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.16,0.21,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.33,0.25,0.54,0.76,0.82,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 118, WAS 125	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.21,0.29,0.33,0.47,0.72,0.85,0.99,1	92.4%
ORL 112, IND 114	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.38,0.64,0.85,0.9,1	92.3%
DET 99, ATL 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.27,0.21,0.11,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.25,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.46,0.55,0.85,1	91.5%