inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 103 Excitement4.8 [875] MVPStephen Curry (GSW): +29.3%
Golden State Warriors 112 Comeback125.6 [30] LVPTyler Hansbrough (TOR): -10.7%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.110.090.050.031863%0.173-0.06580%-0.00
Steve Novak0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.060.070.000.01675%0.0600.0000%0.00
Terrence Ross0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.030.00-0.06540%0.041-0.0000%0.00
Kyle Lowry0.020,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.020.06-0.020.031367%0.093-0.074100%0.03
Rudy Gay0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.02-0.00-0.041260%0.095-0.08683%0.02
Landry Fields-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Julyan Stone-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas-0.030,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.01757%0.023-0.0500%0.00
Amir Johnson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.07-0.070.031073%0.002-0.042100%0.01
Tyler Hansbrough-0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.05-0.07-0.01422%-0.021-0.0910%-0.01

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.290.290.130.230.071567%0.423-0.121080%0.03
Klay Thompson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.26,0.23,0.230.230.050.200.022055%0.272-0.0400%0.00
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.10.100.080.020.011263%0.121-0.02650%-0.03
David Lee0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.000.021069%0.092-0.036100%0.02
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.000.03765%0.051-0.023100%0.01
Marreese Speights0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dewayne Dedmon00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kent Bazemore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Nemanja Nedovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Andrew Bogut0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.02-0.010.05771%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Draymond Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.02-0.09-0.01530%-0.1100.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.71.729.914.625.72.737.3135.5
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +36.3%
GSW +4.0%
TOR -1.2%
GSW +11.5%
TOR -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORGSWNBATORGSWNBA
this game16.713.615.1109.6116.7105.2
season15.914.2107.2105.9
opponent15.315.1102.0104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR14.915.917.119.216.7
GSW14.513.412.913.713.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Landry Fields1090.14-0.640.78-0.046-152114.617.0-2.3613.313.7-0.33
Terrence Ross20190.13-0.630.770.082-111317.716.41.3213.313.7-0.40
Jonas Valanciunas54550.10-0.600.690.21-4-5117.016.30.7613.613.7-0.17
Julyan Stone1919-0.10-0.400.290.25-123-1518.216.31.8813.313.7-0.40
Steve Novak2224-0.19-0.310.120.19-134-1716.816.70.0812.813.9-1.07
Tyler Hansbrough5657-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.597-162316.716.70.0514.013.10.94
Kyle Lowry7577-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.483-121516.318.2-1.8813.713.30.40
Rudy Gay6770-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.482-111316.218.0-1.8113.613.7-0.03
Amir Johnson6364-0.650.15-0.80-0.12-189-2717.115.91.2113.713.40.30
DeMar DeRozan8486-0.730.23-0.95-0.20-189-2716.617.7-1.1013.713.20.49

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jermaine O'Neal43410.91-0.411.320.0330-215113.613.7-0.1018.515.33.19
Draymond Green50500.80-0.301.100.0426-174313.713.60.0918.414.83.56
Stephen Curry87850.64-0.140.790.1716-72313.514.8-1.2616.914.62.39
David Lee73700.53-0.030.550.2981713.713.30.3817.115.71.35
Klay Thompson83800.420.080.350.2854113.713.00.7316.717.0-0.34
Dewayne Dedmon110.000.50-0.500.0009-94.013.7-9.7412.016.8-4.76
Kent Bazemore44-0.020.52-0.530.07-312-1512.013.7-1.7115.016.8-1.79
Marreese Speights1212-0.130.63-0.760.02-514-1914.213.50.7014.517.0-2.54
Nemanja Nedovic1010-0.140.64-0.790.06-716-2313.713.60.0714.317.0-2.70
Harrison Barnes6565-0.180.68-0.870.05-817-2513.513.9-0.3515.519.5-4.01
Andrew Bogut5252-0.330.83-1.150.17-1726-4313.813.40.4615.718.0-2.33


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.2,0.13,0.25,0.63,0.85,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 93, CLE 940.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.2,0.22,0.38,0.54,0.84,0.92,192.9%
DET 91, CHI 1010.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.17,0.2,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.84,1,190.3%
CHA 100, POR 1020.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.16,0.21,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.33,0.25,0.54,0.76,0.82,189.8%