NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	124		Excitement	8.4 [84]		MVP	Anfernee Simons (POR): +47.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	126		Comeback	2.8 [55]		LVP	Aaron Gordon (DEN): -27.5%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Jokic	0.39	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.39	0.24	0.20	0.04	18	85%	0.48	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.04
Michael Porter Jr.	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.17	0.08	0.09	0.01	11	67%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Jamal Murray	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.05,0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.29,0.15	0.08	0.06	-0.01	19	57%	0.19	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Julian Strawther	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peyton Watson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	73%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.03	12	73%	0.08	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Christian Braun	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.03	10	59%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hunter Tyson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.27	-0.12	-0.17	-0.01	6	14%	-0.22	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.02,0.48	0.48	0.12	0.37	0.01	20	65%	0.55	3	-0.08	3	67%	0.05
Shaedon Sharpe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.41	0.41	0.14	0.27	0.00	18	61%	0.41	0	0.00	8	87%	0.11
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.04	0.01	9	86%	0.21	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Toumani Camara	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.02	9	70%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Donovan Clingan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Williams III	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	14	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	14	43%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Scoot Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	11	28%	-0.06	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.8	24.4	14.5	27.2	2.4	39.4	134.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +6.7%

POR +34.3%

POR +1.3%

POR +5.8%

POR +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	POR	NBA	DEN	POR	NBA
this game	13.9	14.7	14.3	122.8	126.0	111.9
season	13.6	14.3		115.4	107.3
opponent	14.3	14.5		115.3	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.2	14.9	14.5	13.1	13.9
POR	16.2	12.3	14.3	16.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hunter Tyson	12	11	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.17	8	-10	18	15.2	13.8	1.39	17.3	14.4	2.87
DeAndre Jordan	23	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-5	8	15.3	13.5	1.82	15.4	14.5	0.93
Peyton Watson	36	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	0	-2	14.3	13.7	0.61	15.2	14.5	0.74
Russell Westbrook	70	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.43	7	-9	16	14.0	13.7	0.29	14.6	14.9	-0.27
Michael Porter Jr.	69	70	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.46	7	-9	16	13.3	15.3	-1.96	14.5	15.1	-0.59
Julian Strawther	20	19	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.18	-17	15	-32	15.3	13.6	1.76	13.9	14.9	-1.02
Jamal Murray	80	80	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-3	4	13.6	15.0	-1.40	15.1	13.2	1.90
Aaron Gordon	65	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-2	2	13.7	14.3	-0.61	14.5	15.2	-0.74
Christian Braun	52	52	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.09	-12	10	-22	14.3	13.6	0.68	14.2	15.2	-0.98
Nikola Jokic	78	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	3	-8	13.5	15.3	-1.82	14.5	15.4	-0.93

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Simons	71	74	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	-1	4	15.0	14.1	0.92	13.7	14.7	-0.99
Shaedon Sharpe	63	62	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.36	4	-2	6	14.1	15.8	-1.77	13.7	14.3	-0.51
Deandre Ayton	75	74	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.48	-3	5	-8	14.4	15.6	-1.12	13.6	14.9	-1.29
Jerami Grant	77	76	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.47	-6	8	-14	14.6	15.0	-0.42	13.8	14.4	-0.56
Scoot Henderson	54	55	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	-3	8	14.8	14.6	0.17	14.6	13.2	1.37
Donovan Clingan	22	24	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	-7	16	14.9	14.7	0.24	14.8	13.7	1.17
Toumani Camara	78	77	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.03	6	-4	10	14.3	16.1	-1.82	13.9	14.0	-0.13
Deni Avdija	41	43	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.34	-7	9	-16	15.9	13.9	2.00	13.5	14.3	-0.79
Robert Williams III	19	20	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.03	-1	3	-4	16.1	14.4	1.65	15.6	13.5	2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.59,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.52,0.61,0.74,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.88,0.89,0.73,0.74,0.91,0.91,0.81,0.93,0.84,0.41,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 80, ATL 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.8,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.84,0.58,1	91.1%
UTA 116, GSW 119	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.68,0.68,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.77,0.28,1	90.6%
DET 111, DEN 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.81,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.92,0.73,0.74,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.76,0.58,1	90.5%