NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	80		Excitement	6.5 [491]		MVP	Dion Glover (ATL): +16.0%
Atlanta Hawks	87		Comeback	1.6 [648]		LVP	Jason Terry (ATL): -23.1%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Traylor	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	4	56%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Stacey Augmon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	21	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jerome Moiso	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	7	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Elden Campbell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	10	46%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
George Lynch	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	6	67%	0.02	4	-0.12	6	100%	0.03
Jamal Mashburn	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21	-0.06	-0.14	0.01	18	42%	-0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.16	0.16	-0.08	0.23	-0.01	5	42%	0.25	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.04	0.00	6	93%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	9	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	16	59%	0.06	5	-0.11	7	86%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	6	44%	-0.06	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.24,-0.23	-0.23	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	13	43%	-0.13	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	30.4	15.3	21.6	2.5	31.6	126.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +80.2%

NOH -21.1%

ATL +7.4%

NOH -16.6%

ATL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	ATL	NBA	NOH	ATL	NBA
this game	17.5	15.4	15.5	92.0	98.9	101.6
season	15.9	15.1		101.6	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.6		103.1	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	18.3	16.7	18.9	16.1	17.5
ATL	16.0	15.3	13.3	17.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Traylor	24	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.25	6	-13	19	13.9	18.9	-4.94	15.9	15.3	0.61
Robert Pack	47	48	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-7	7	17.7	17.3	0.36	13.9	17.2	-3.29
George Lynch	24	26	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	-2	-3	18.1	17.3	0.81	15.1	15.6	-0.50
P.J. Brown	66	68	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.31	5	-12	17	16.9	19.4	-2.55	16.1	13.1	2.95
Jamaal Magloire	30	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	1	-9	18.2	17.1	1.13	14.9	15.7	-0.85
Stacey Augmon	43	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-9	11	17.0	18.0	-1.02	16.1	14.8	1.25
Elden Campbell	33	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-2	-3	19.4	16.3	3.11	15.6	15.3	0.28
Jerome Moiso	22	21	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	7	-21	19.5	16.8	2.62	13.5	16.0	-2.51
Jamal Mashburn	64	63	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.20	-9	2	-11	17.1	18.6	-1.51	16.1	13.7	2.45
David Wesley	82	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.28	-7	0	-7	17.8	12.8	4.98	15.5	14.6	0.88

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	73	73	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.25	9	-2	11	15.3	16.1	-0.77	17.5	17.5	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	60	60	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.21	10	-3	13	15.4	15.5	-0.05	17.1	18.3	-1.16
Mike Wilks	51	51	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.44	2	5	-3	15.1	15.8	-0.70	17.6	17.4	0.23
Jason Terry	69	68	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.25	6	1	5	15.2	16.3	-1.13	17.0	19.2	-2.20
Alan Henderson	41	40	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	-2	11	15.3	15.6	-0.31	19.2	16.0	3.25
Ira Newble	44	44	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	-1	9	16.3	14.6	1.73	16.2	18.8	-2.52
Dion Glover	32	31	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	9	-11	15.2	15.6	-0.43	18.3	17.1	1.19
Nazr Mohammed	22	21	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.06	-1	8	-9	15.1	15.5	-0.39	17.5	17.5	0.04
Dan Dickau	1	1	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.01	-2	9	-11	13.0	15.5	-2.46	18.0	17.5	0.51
Darvin Ham	48	48	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.09	-2	9	-11	15.7	15.1	0.61	17.3	17.7	-0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.8,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.84,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 107, LAC 114	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.77,0.73,1	92.2%
NJN 90, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.89,0.9,0.84,1	92.1%
MIL 86, NYK 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.85,0.84,1	92.0%