NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	86		Excitement	5.3 [729]		MVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): +21.3%
New York Knicks	93		Comeback	1.9 [1117]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -28.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.06	0.03	13	61%	0.11	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.04
Elliot Perry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Chucky Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Joe Wolf	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,-0.05	0.02	-0.07	0.00	17	60%	0.00	2	-0.05	8	50%	-0.13
Johnny Newman	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	3	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.22,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.25,-0.25,-0.27,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28	-0.17	-0.11	0.00	23	40%	-0.12	6	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.07	0.14	-0.01	8	81%	0.26	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Scott Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	5	70%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.02	12	61%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	10	60%	0.07	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	73%	0.10	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	80%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	7	56%	0.01	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.5	25.3	15.4	24.5	2.4	37.4	135.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +53.9%

NYK +2.9%

MIL -9.0%

NYK +1.6%

NYK +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NYK	NBA	MIL	NYK	NBA
this game	17.6	16.3	15.6	102.4	108.1	104.4
season	16.0	15.1		103.9	102.0
opponent	16.1	15.5		98.8	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	20.7	16.7	19.8	14.4	17.6
NYK	15.3	16.8	19.1	14.4	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Armen Gilliam	43	43	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-9	11	17.5	17.8	-0.27	15.5	17.0	-1.44
Chucky Brown	6	7	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.04	-2	-5	3	17.3	17.7	-0.33	14.4	16.4	-1.99
Elliot Perry	37	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	2	-11	16.2	18.8	-2.60	14.9	17.4	-2.49
Johnny Newman	17	20	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	1	-9	18.2	17.5	0.67	16.4	16.2	0.25
Ray Allen	70	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.32	1	-8	9	17.4	18.6	-1.20	16.6	14.7	1.93
Sherman Douglas	47	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-9	11	18.8	16.2	2.60	17.4	14.9	2.49
Glenn Robinson	78	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.25	-6	-1	-5	17.8	16.2	1.59	16.1	18.2	-2.20
Vin Baker	81	83	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.28	-6	-1	-5	17.6	18.3	-0.72	16.3	16.3	-0.08
Joe Wolf	41	43	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.24	-9	2	-11	17.8	17.5	0.27	17.0	15.5	1.44

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Brooks	31	31	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.10	22	-15	37	16.3	16.2	0.05	18.9	16.9	1.95
Charles Oakley	74	71	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.31	7	0	7	16.3	16.2	0.01	18.2	14.5	3.67
Larry Johnson	72	69	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	2	3	16.3	16.1	0.13	18.0	15.8	2.24
John Starks	42	41	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.15	5	2	3	14.7	17.7	-2.97	16.5	18.8	-2.30
Buck Williams	46	44	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	5	-3	16.5	16.0	0.48	17.1	18.3	-1.21
Allan Houston	53	53	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.24	0	7	-7	17.3	14.6	2.63	17.8	17.3	0.56
Patrick Ewing	55	56	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	0	7	15.8	17.1	-1.26	17.3	18.3	-0.96
John Wallace	5	5	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	5	-3	22.2	15.9	6.31	16.0	17.7	-1.75
Charlie Ward	52	50	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.30	-15	22	-37	16.1	16.5	-0.36	17.3	18.1	-0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.85,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 82, DEN 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
POR 101, BOS 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.82,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.92,1	94.1%
LAC 98, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.32,0.39,0.34,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.65,0.73,0.8,0.92,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%