NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	101		Excitement	6.3 [501]		MVP	Walt Williams (POR): +26.7%
Boston Celtics	102		Comeback	1.4 [365]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -40.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.27	0.03	0.24	0.00	5	71%	0.29	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Brian Grant	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.03	12	78%	0.10	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04	-0.02	0.02	0.04	17	57%	0.04	4	-0.08	8	87%	0.02
Rick Brunson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	0.05	15	64%	0.01	5	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Vincent Askew	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	8	35%	-0.06	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.40	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.4	-0.09	-0.29	0.02	11	46%	-0.30	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Minor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	11	58%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.01	8	70%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	8	61%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Pervis Ellison	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	13	51%	-0.01	3	-0.07	9	78%	0.01
Ron Mercer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	8	37%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.07	-0.05	19	52%	-0.00	4	-0.09	10	60%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	28.2	15.6	23.2	1.7	43.8	142.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +34.1%

POR -0.7%

BOS +4.1%

BOS +10.2%

BOS +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	BOS	NBA	POR	BOS	NBA
this game	15.2	13.3	15.6	100.0	101.0	102.5
season	15.9	15.1		101.9	100.2
opponent	15.1	15.4		103.0	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.1	15.6	16.8	13.4	15.2
BOS	11.6	12.1	13.9	16.0	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	83	83	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.29	14	-15	29	15.2	15.1	0.16	13.6	12.1	1.48
Arvydas Sabonis	86	85	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.64	17	-18	35	15.1	15.9	-0.88	13.7	11.5	2.17
Vincent Askew	23	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	6	-13	13.9	15.6	-1.71	12.0	13.7	-1.66
Kelvin Cato	6	5	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	7	-15	14.3	15.2	-0.91	11.6	13.4	-1.82
Rick Brunson	30	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.11	-10	9	-19	16.4	14.7	1.77	11.9	13.9	-1.98
Damon Stoudamire	84	83	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.68	16	-17	33	15.1	15.6	-0.48	13.8	11.3	2.43
Stacey Augmon	12	12	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	10	-21	21.0	14.4	6.60	11.0	13.6	-2.64
Walt Williams	43	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	12	-25	14.8	15.4	-0.61	11.2	14.8	-3.66
Isaiah Rider	66	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.38	-4	3	-7	15.1	15.3	-0.19	14.1	11.8	2.29
Brian Grant	72	74	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.63	1	-2	3	14.7	16.4	-1.77	14.1	11.1	3.02

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dana Barros	42	40	0.98	-0.48	1.46	0.42	19	-18	37	13.2	13.4	-0.19	14.7	15.5	-0.77
Travis Knight	50	51	0.72	-0.22	0.94	-0.04	26	-25	51	12.8	13.8	-1.00	16.2	14.2	2.04
Bruce Bowen	52	53	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.08	24	-23	47	11.3	15.5	-4.20	14.9	15.5	-0.59
Walter McCarty	34	33	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.10	14	-13	27	12.1	14.0	-1.87	16.2	14.7	1.52
Greg Minor	75	73	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	1	-1	13.8	12.0	1.73	14.8	16.2	-1.47
Antoine Walker	74	75	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.68	-18	19	-37	14.0	11.4	2.67	15.4	14.6	0.77
Pervis Ellison	7	7	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	-1	3	10.7	13.5	-2.81	19.4	14.9	4.56
Andrew DeClercq	57	56	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.48	-16	17	-33	13.6	13.0	0.58	13.5	17.3	-3.87
Ron Mercer	54	55	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.70	-26	27	-53	14.9	11.5	3.36	15.3	15.0	0.27
Kenny Anderson	60	62	-0.50	1.00	-1.50	0.09	-20	21	-41	13.5	13.0	0.47	15.6	14.6	0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.82,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 102, NOH 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.74,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%
GSW 90, MEM 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.82,0.75,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
WAS 80, SAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%