NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	102		Excitement	4.9 [816]		MVP	David Wesley (NOH): +8.6%
New Orleans Hornets	114		Comeback	1.7 [761]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (PHX): -24.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.03	14	68%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	11	65%	0.01	0	0.00	12	67%	-0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	3	86%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alton Ford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Randy Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	24	49%	-0.01	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Stephon Marbury	-0.24	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.12,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.23	-0.06	-0.05	21	42%	-0.08	7	-0.16	11	82%	-0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	16	74%	0.20	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	0.01	0.06	10	85%	0.11	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	14	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.02	-0.03	20	41%	-0.00	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.02
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.8	33.5	15.0	29.2	2.4	32.5	136.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +43.4%

NOH +1.7%

NOH +4.4%

PHX -1.4%

NOH +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NOH	NBA	PHX	NOH	NBA
this game	13.9	16.9	15.5	108.5	122.6	101.6
season	15.0	15.9		101.1	101.6
opponent	15.6	15.9		99.6	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.4	14.5	15.1	12.0	13.9
NOH	15.0	15.5	20.9	16.8	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Williams	25	25	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-13	14	16.0	13.2	2.85	15.6	17.4	-1.79
Amar'e Stoudemire	64	63	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-10	8	13.8	14.3	-0.57	16.7	17.2	-0.49
Alton Ford	12	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-6	0	11.2	14.4	-3.19	16.6	16.9	-0.27
Randy Brown	7	7	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	-3	-6	18.9	13.6	5.31	15.0	17.0	-2.02
Joe Johnson	79	79	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-11	10	13.6	16.0	-2.44	17.3	14.6	2.62
Casey Jacobsen	45	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-4	-4	12.3	15.4	-3.14	15.9	17.8	-1.95
Stephon Marbury	89	87	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.20	-5	-7	2	13.8	16.6	-2.80	16.9	16.8	0.04
Bo Outlaw	28	27	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-3	-6	16.4	12.9	3.43	18.8	16.1	2.69
Jake Voskuhl	31	31	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.05	-15	3	-18	14.5	13.7	0.90	17.4	16.6	0.82
Shawn Marion	90	90	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	-6	0	13.8	16.5	-2.67	16.9	15.7	1.24

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	87	88	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.09	14	-2	16	16.5	22.2	-5.66	14.0	13.7	0.30
Jamal Mashburn	89	90	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.20	8	4	4	16.8	19.0	-2.22	13.9	14.7	-0.84
Robert Pack	46	47	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.06	10	2	8	16.0	17.7	-1.64	12.5	15.4	-2.91
Elden Campbell	26	27	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.07	6	6	0	17.0	16.8	0.23	13.0	14.3	-1.33
Baron Davis	65	65	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	9	-6	17.0	16.5	0.58	14.3	13.2	1.02
P.J. Brown	52	53	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	8	-4	17.0	16.7	0.38	14.5	13.2	1.38
Robert Traylor	17	18	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.05	8	4	4	18.8	16.4	2.32	14.6	13.8	0.75
Jamaal Magloire	64	63	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	9	-6	16.4	17.9	-1.54	14.0	13.8	0.21
George Lynch	6	7	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.03	6	6	0	16.3	16.9	-0.57	18.7	13.6	5.15
Stacey Augmon	13	12	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	14	-16	21.2	16.2	4.98	13.5	14.0	-0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.74,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 77, TOR 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
POR 101, BOS 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.82,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.92,1	94.7%
CHI 83, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%