NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	90		Excitement	7.8 [240]		MVP	Trajan Langdon (CLE): +11.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Comeback	1.6 [741]		LVP	Andre Miller (CLE): -34.6%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	6	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Vladimir Stepania	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02	-0.06	0.08	0.00	13	43%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	10	52%	0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Johnny Newman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jim McIlvaine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kendall Gill	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	6	0%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.16	0.04	-0.22	-0.02	15	53%	-0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Lucious Harris	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	6	21%	-0.06	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.24	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.17,-0.24	0.00	-0.23	0.01	22	56%	-0.13	4	-0.11	4	25%	-0.04

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trajan Langdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	7	57%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.07	-0.01	18	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	8	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	7	58%	-0.00	2	-0.07	10	60%	-0.06
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	15	37%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	13	44%	-0.05	4	-0.10	8	62%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.22,-0.2,-0.3,-0.35	-0.35	-0.19	-0.20	-0.04	11	31%	-0.20	5	-0.14	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.4	24.9	14.7	24.8	0.3	37.8	130.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +17.3%

CLE +0.3%

CLE +33.7%

NJN -5.3%

CLE +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CLE	NBA	NJN	CLE	NBA
this game	15.5	15.5	15.5	96.8	98.9	100.9
season	15.5	15.3		97.8	98.4
opponent	15.6	15.1		102.6	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.0	14.6	17.5	15.0	15.5
CLE	15.0	16.1	13.8	17.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim McIlvaine	4	4	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.06	4	-6	10	18.2	15.4	2.87	19.0	15.3	3.70
Vladimir Stepania	12	13	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-5	8	17.7	15.2	2.48	17.8	15.1	2.68
Johnny Newman	19	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	1	-4	15.5	15.5	-0.04	16.2	15.3	0.87
Sherman Douglas	29	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	0	-2	16.0	15.3	0.72	15.7	15.4	0.31
Kenyon Martin	72	71	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.33	5	-7	12	15.0	17.4	-2.42	15.6	15.0	0.55
Lucious Harris	41	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-2	2	15.1	15.8	-0.69	15.7	15.2	0.50
Stephon Marbury	72	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.45	5	-7	12	15.1	17.0	-1.99	15.8	14.1	1.74
Stephen Jackson	57	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.35	1	-3	4	15.1	16.1	-0.99	15.4	15.5	-0.04
Kendall Gill	38	38	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	10	-22	17.3	14.2	3.11	14.0	16.5	-2.52
Keith Van Horn	58	58	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	2	-6	15.8	15.0	0.81	14.8	16.5	-1.64
Aaron Williams	63	63	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.32	-7	5	-12	15.0	16.5	-1.42	15.2	16.1	-0.89

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim Jackson	77	77	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.43	6	-4	10	15.5	15.4	0.03	16.2	11.9	4.31
Lamond Murray	72	71	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.39	7	-5	12	14.8	17.9	-3.09	15.5	15.5	-0.05
Clar. Weatherspoon	69	71	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.36	6	-4	10	15.1	16.5	-1.34	15.5	15.4	0.13
Andre Miller	66	67	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.42	1	1	0	14.8	17.0	-2.22	15.1	16.6	-1.49
Chris Gatling	62	63	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.28	1	1	0	16.2	14.0	2.15	14.0	18.6	-4.57
Robert Traylor	42	40	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.23	-6	8	-14	15.0	15.8	-0.76	17.3	14.2	3.11
Anthony Johnson	27	26	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	1	0	17.0	14.8	2.22	16.6	15.1	1.49
Trajan Langdon	50	50	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	8	-14	16.4	14.4	2.03	14.8	16.3	-1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.89,0.9,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 96, ATL 101	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.94,1,1,1	93.4%
POR 87, CHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.77,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.83,0.88,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.91,0.98,1	93.0%
NYK 93, IND 100	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,1	92.7%