NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	96		Excitement	6.1 [549]		MVP	Steven Smith (ATL): +22.6%
Atlanta Hawks	101		Comeback	1.7 [703]		LVP	Alan Henderson (ATL): -17.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.20	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.00	0.01	16	76%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shawnelle Scott	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.02	0.02	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	11	57%	0.00	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Derek Anderson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	0.01	-0.04	17	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	8	39%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Kemp	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	0.01	10	36%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Bob Sura	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	22%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.09	-0.00	17	77%	0.29	3	-0.06	9	89%	0.02
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	8	59%	0.07	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.07	16	47%	0.06	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Oliver	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	6	50%	0.02	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.03	8	38%	-0.09	2	-0.04	10	60%	-0.05
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18	-0.18	-0.17	-0.01	-0.00	17	41%	-0.04	5	-0.13	7	14%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.4	31.6	16.4	26.6	2.3	34.6	137.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +24.0%

ATL +15.8%

ATL +35.9%

CLE -22.1%

CLE -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	16.1	14.6	15.6	102.1	107.4	102.5
season	15.4	16.1		99.4	105.3
opponent	16.0	16.0		101.5	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.8	18.3	15.4	14.0	16.1
ATL	15.2	13.8	14.6	14.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawnelle Scott	7	6	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-6	7	17.6	15.9	1.63	18.0	14.3	3.66
Bob Sura	40	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.18	2	-7	9	17.7	14.9	2.85	15.0	14.3	0.73
Carl Thomas	22	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.27	5	-10	15	13.4	16.9	-3.47	15.1	14.4	0.68
Shawn Kemp	62	63	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-6	7	16.4	15.4	1.04	14.8	14.0	0.81
Cedric Henderson	73	74	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.35	7	-12	19	14.1	22.9	-8.75	14.6	14.5	0.03
Wesley Person	76	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.23	-3	-2	-1	16.2	15.5	0.70	13.4	18.9	-5.56
Vitaly Potapenko	27	27	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	6	-17	18.8	15.0	3.81	14.9	14.4	0.44
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	46	46	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.00	-13	8	-21	17.0	15.2	1.83	15.7	13.5	2.11
Derek Anderson	59	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-1	-3	16.6	15.2	1.33	14.1	15.3	-1.18
Brevin Knight	58	59	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.22	-10	5	-15	15.2	17.5	-2.37	14.4	14.9	-0.50

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Corbin	77	77	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.35	6	-1	7	14.4	15.4	-0.95	16.3	15.1	1.23
Dikembe Mutombo	61	61	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.01	17	-12	29	14.4	14.8	-0.38	17.7	13.0	4.77
Steven Smith	90	90	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	2	1	14.6	13.5	1.12	15.3	33.7	-18.47
Mookie Blaylock	83	82	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	2	1	14.3	16.6	-2.34	16.0	16.2	-0.12
Alan Henderson	75	75	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.22	1	4	-3	14.5	14.8	-0.27	14.9	20.8	-5.99
Christian Laettner	44	46	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.40	-7	12	-19	14.6	14.5	0.12	16.1	16.0	0.05
Brian Oliver	11	12	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	3	-1	16.6	14.3	2.34	16.2	16.0	0.12
Drew Barry	4	4	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	3	-1	13.5	14.6	-1.12	33.7	15.3	18.47
Chucky Brown	25	23	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.07	-2	7	-9	15.5	14.2	1.23	14.8	16.5	-1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.94,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 93, IND 100	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,1	94.0%
CHI 91, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.99,1	94.0%
ATL 88, GSW 92	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.86,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.96,0.99,0.95,1	93.8%