NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	91		Excitement	6.9 [425]		MVP	Rick Brunson (CHI): +10.9%
Orlando Magic	94		Comeback	1.4 [956]		LVP	Marcus Fizer (CHI): -30.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Brunson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.11	0.12	-0.01	0.00	10	77%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Tyson Chandler	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	53%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	0%	-0.08
Trenton Hassell	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	7	53%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	28%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.01	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17	-0.05	-0.11	0.01	19	58%	0.04	6	-0.22	10	90%	0.04
Marcus Fizer	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.15,-0.2,-0.31,-0.31,-0.3	-0.05	-0.22	0.04	17	46%	-0.23	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	11	55%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	13	50%	0.00	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	11	46%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.02
Jeryl Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Pat Garrity	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	11	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	6	56%	0.01	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	4	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Pat Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	18	60%	-0.02	3	-0.07	16	56%	-0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	27.4	16.6	29.3	2.5	43.2	144.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +9.8%

ORL +14.9%

CHI -1.3%

ORL +24.9%

ORL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ORL	NBA	CHI	ORL	NBA
this game	16.7	16.1	15.5	102.2	108.0	101.6
season	15.0	14.6		98.3	102.7
opponent	15.8	15.1		103.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.4	18.9	13.3	17.6	16.7
ORL	15.3	17.1	16.1	15.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddy Curry	15	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-5	7	15.7	16.9	-1.18	17.3	15.8	1.45
Fred Hoiberg	17	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	2	-7	19.7	15.9	3.78	15.7	16.1	-0.39
Trenton Hassell	46	45	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.14	-1	-2	1	17.0	16.3	0.68	16.6	15.5	1.10
Rick Brunson	38	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.30	4	-7	11	15.3	17.6	-2.33	15.5	16.6	-1.10
Corie Blount	22	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.34	5	-8	13	16.6	16.7	-0.08	15.5	16.3	-0.78
Marcus Fizer	46	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.39	6	-9	15	15.8	17.6	-1.80	16.2	15.9	0.27
Eddie Robinson	39	37	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.31	2	-5	7	15.7	17.4	-1.71	16.1	16.1	0.02
Donyell Marshall	50	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	5	-13	17.4	15.7	1.71	15.8	16.4	-0.63
Tyson Chandler	45	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	8	-19	17.1	16.2	0.84	16.1	16.0	0.09
Jamal Crawford	46	43	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.12	-9	6	-15	16.8	16.5	0.36	16.3	15.9	0.37
Jalen Rose	81	81	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-3	3	16.8	15.0	1.81	16.0	16.7	-0.64

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	70	72	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.33	12	-9	21	15.9	16.6	-0.72	17.0	15.2	1.82
Pat Garrity	64	67	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.31	8	-5	13	15.5	17.7	-2.15	16.6	16.8	-0.22
Jacque Vaughn	46	48	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	-6	15	15.7	16.5	-0.79	17.3	15.9	1.34
Tracy McGrady	77	79	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	3	-3	15.7	19.0	-3.31	16.7	15.9	0.85
Shawn Kemp	36	37	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.05	8	-5	13	16.3	15.9	0.45	15.9	17.2	-1.25
Andrew DeClercq	50	50	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.30	-4	7	-11	16.2	15.9	0.26	17.6	15.4	2.21
Darrell Armstrong	42	43	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.19	-7	10	-17	16.1	16.0	0.10	15.5	17.8	-2.30
Pat Burke	23	22	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	8	-13	17.7	15.5	2.15	16.8	16.6	0.22
Jeryl Sasser	27	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.07	-6	9	-15	17.5	15.4	2.10	15.4	17.2	-1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 95, MIA 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.99,1,1	94.0%
CLE 96, ATL 101	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.94,1,1,1	94.0%
ATL 88, GSW 92	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.86,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.96,0.99,0.95,1	93.7%