NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	87		Excitement	6.4 [573]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +25.8%
Chicago Bulls	92		Comeback	1.2 [1012]		LVP	Darius Miles (POR): -30.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	-0.02	-0.01	15	69%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	21	54%	0.12	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.04
Ruben Patterson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	5	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nick Van Exel	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22	-0.15	-0.09	-0.01	15	39%	-0.06	4	-0.16	6	83%	0.02
Darius Miles	-0.30	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.18	-0.12	0.01	16	32%	-0.24	2	-0.06	8	37%	-0.10

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.10	0.15	-0.01	15	74%	0.34	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	12	59%	0.09	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.04
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	8	60%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	69%	0.16	5	-0.16	4	100%	0.04
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	7	28%	-0.06	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.02
Luol Deng	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.07	-0.02	15	35%	-0.09	2	-0.08	4	50%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	2.4	31.3	16.8	25.2	1.5	35.5	133.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +42.0%

CHI +7.9%

POR -3.6%

CHI +0.4%

CHI +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CHI	NBA	POR	CHI	NBA
this game	15.7	15.8	15.5	95.6	100.0	104.0
season	15.8	15.1		101.2	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.6		98.9	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.0	12.2	18.7	14.5	15.7
CHI	14.7	17.1	15.6	15.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Outlaw	21	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-8	11	14.0	16.2	-2.24	18.4	15.0	3.41
Damon Stoudamire	55	56	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.39	12	-17	29	13.2	19.6	-6.48	16.3	14.9	1.46
Joel Przybilla	21	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.13	3	-8	11	14.4	16.1	-1.69	16.7	15.5	1.25
Ruben Patterson	29	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	0	-5	16.8	15.2	1.62	16.1	15.6	0.47
Derek Anderson	27	27	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.06	-11	6	-17	18.8	14.4	4.34	13.8	16.6	-2.74
Nick Van Exel	80	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.39	1	-6	7	16.0	13.4	2.69	15.8	15.4	0.38
Darius Miles	76	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-2	-1	15.8	15.3	0.55	15.6	16.5	-0.86
Theo Ratliff	70	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.22	-8	3	-11	16.1	14.4	1.69	15.5	16.7	-1.25
Zach Randolph	76	78	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.23	-17	12	-29	16.1	13.7	2.39	15.3	18.4	-3.16

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	57	56	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.16	20	-15	35	15.1	16.9	-1.79	18.2	11.8	6.38
Antonio Davis	63	61	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.30	11	-6	17	15.2	16.9	-1.72	16.5	14.1	2.37
Eddy Curry	73	74	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	-4	13	15.4	17.1	-1.64	17.0	10.1	6.97
Kirk Hinrich	82	82	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.32	8	-3	11	15.4	18.3	-2.86	16.0	13.7	2.28
Ben Gordon	52	52	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.34	-1	6	-7	16.5	14.7	1.81	15.3	16.3	-0.93
Chris Duhon	50	48	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.05	3	2	1	15.4	16.1	-0.68	15.8	15.7	0.10
Tyson Chandler	32	33	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	7	-9	17.5	14.8	2.64	13.6	16.9	-3.32
Adrian Griffin	10	9	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.04	-8	13	-21	16.1	15.7	0.39	6.3	16.8	-10.42
Andres Nocioni	41	40	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.21	-15	20	-35	16.7	15.0	1.73	12.5	18.2	-5.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.77,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.83,0.88,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 78, DET 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.55,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.99,1,1	93.7%
LAL 94, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.86,0.98,1	93.3%
NJN 84, POR 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.87,0.78,0.82,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.83,1	93.1%