NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	84		Excitement	7.5 [312]		MVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): +8.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	86		Comeback	1.0 [1116]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): -20.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Eschmeyer	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	6	71%	0.10	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.04
Aaron Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	9	74%	0.12	5	-0.17	5	100%	0.05
Kevin Ollie	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	10	65%	0.04	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	8	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	5	20%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.12	-0.01	-0.11	-0.00	16	44%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kendall Gill	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.12	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	12	50%	-0.06	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Kenyon Martin	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.15	-0.06	-0.00	4	37%	-0.10	4	-0.11	8	75%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.00	6	100%	0.20	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	15	69%	0.19	3	-0.11	6	67%	-0.04
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	8	19%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	7	55%	-0.06	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.11
Steven Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	12	46%	-0.06	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	9	39%	-0.01	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	1.7	30.2	15.8	25.2	2.6	0.0	101.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +63.4%

NJN -17.3%

POR +29.0%

NJN -20.7%

NJN -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	POR	NBA	NJN	POR	NBA
this game	16.0	16.0	15.5	93.3	95.6	100.9
season	15.5	15.8		97.8	103.9
opponent	15.8	15.1		100.3	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.5	15.7	15.2	18.2	16.0
POR	14.5	15.6	16.3	17.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucious Harris	23	23	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.15	7	-9	16	19.2	15.0	4.22	18.0	15.3	2.79
Kevin Ollie	15	16	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.12	6	-8	14	19.9	15.3	4.68	19.3	15.2	4.07
Aaron Williams	57	59	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.44	11	-13	24	16.0	16.2	-0.19	16.2	15.5	0.64
Johnny Newman	41	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.39	7	-9	16	17.5	14.8	2.63	17.0	15.1	1.85
Stephen Jackson	49	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	7	-16	14.8	17.5	-2.63	15.1	17.0	-1.85
Kenyon Martin	64	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	10	-22	15.3	17.8	-2.50	15.2	17.8	-2.59
Evan Eschmeyer	59	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.38	-3	1	-4	16.9	14.4	2.46	16.6	15.0	1.60
Stephon Marbury	75	74	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.32	-8	6	-14	15.3	19.9	-4.68	15.2	19.3	-4.07
Kendall Gill	67	67	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.29	-9	7	-16	15.0	19.2	-4.22	15.3	18.0	-2.79

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Smith	70	69	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.35	13	-11	24	15.7	16.7	-1.01	15.7	17.2	-1.51
Rasheed Wallace	76	75	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.39	10	-8	18	15.8	16.7	-0.89	15.3	19.9	-4.68
Scottie Pippen	69	68	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.29	10	-8	18	16.2	15.1	1.07	15.6	17.5	-1.94
Damon Stoudamire	55	58	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.37	6	-4	10	16.5	15.1	1.44	15.7	16.6	-0.87
Arvydas Sabonis	41	41	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	-10	22	16.1	15.9	0.24	15.8	16.2	-0.46
Dale Davis	49	48	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.42	-8	10	-18	15.9	16.1	-0.24	16.1	15.9	0.20
Greg Anthony	35	32	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	6	-10	15.1	16.5	-1.44	16.6	15.7	0.87
Stacey Augmon	10	11	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.09	-6	8	-14	15.7	16.0	-0.30	18.4	15.7	2.65
Shawn Kemp	14	16	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.09	-10	12	-22	16.7	15.8	0.89	20.1	15.2	4.90
Bonzi Wells	31	32	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.15	-13	15	-28	16.0	15.9	0.05	17.0	15.5	1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.87,0.78,0.82,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 124, OKC 125	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.76,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.91,0.91,1	93.7%
POR 87, CHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.77,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.83,0.88,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.91,0.98,1	93.1%
PHI 79, NJN 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.84,0.83,0.62,0.78,0.9,0.84,1	92.9%