NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	116		Excitement	7.3 [357]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +38.2%
Golden State Warriors	119		Comeback	7.2 [147]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (GSW): -12.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,0.04,0.57,0.31	0.15	0.28	0.12	33	58%	0.38	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.02
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.00	21	57%	0.14	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Matt Thomas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	1	83%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Georges Niang	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Trent Forrest	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	4	82%	0.07	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Rudy Gobert	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.07	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Derrick Favors	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miye Oni	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	7	36%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	0.05	9	56%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.38	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.00	25	58%	0.57	3	-0.19	12	92%	0.08
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.11	-0.01	14	61%	0.24	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	0.01	0.05	11	77%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Mychal Mulder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.02	0.03	4	80%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Juan Toscano-Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.02	10	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	62%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	19	36%	-0.06	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	23.6	14.7	29.8	3.5	36.5	134.8
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +44.9%

UTA -1.2%

GSW +2.5%

GSW +5.6%

UTA -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	GSW	NBA	UTA	GSW	NBA
this game	14.4	14.0	14.4	113.7	117.8	111.3
season	14.5	13.5		116.4	109.9
opponent	14.5	14.5		108.8	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	12.8	16.4	15.2	13.4	14.4
GSW	13.9	13.6	13.1	15.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Thomas	10	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	1	-5	12.9	14.5	-1.62	13.1	14.1	-0.99
Georges Niang	59	58	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-3	3	13.3	15.8	-2.51	14.1	13.9	0.26
Joe Ingles	67	66	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.31	6	-9	15	13.7	15.5	-1.80	14.4	13.2	1.24
Miye Oni	22	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	1	-5	13.4	14.6	-1.27	13.8	14.1	-0.25
Rudy Gobert	66	65	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-6	9	13.9	15.3	-1.41	14.4	13.2	1.18
Royce O'Neale	67	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.41	7	-10	17	15.1	12.9	2.25	14.3	13.4	0.99
Trent Forrest	39	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	2	-7	15.3	13.8	1.53	13.3	14.4	-1.15
Bojan Bogdanovic	70	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.47	5	-8	13	14.9	13.2	1.67	14.2	13.6	0.57
Derrick Favors	36	36	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	3	-9	15.3	13.9	1.41	13.2	14.4	-1.18
Jordan Clarkson	74	74	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.24	-17	14	-31	14.6	13.8	0.75	13.6	15.1	-1.50

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juan Toscano-Anderson	64	61	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.52	4	-1	5	13.7	14.6	-0.92	14.1	14.7	-0.62
Kent Bazemore	69	70	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	2	-1	13.8	14.4	-0.63	15.3	12.3	3.03
Draymond Green	78	77	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.43	0	3	-3	13.8	14.6	-0.78	14.8	12.9	1.91
Mychal Mulder	41	41	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.01	13	-10	23	13.1	14.6	-1.49	15.0	13.9	1.07
Stephen Curry	77	79	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.12	4	-1	5	14.0	14.1	-0.10	14.2	15.0	-0.82
Kevon Looney	62	66	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.17	0	3	-3	14.2	13.7	0.43	14.1	14.8	-0.73
Andrew Wiggins	74	75	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.38	-8	11	-19	14.8	11.9	2.89	14.1	15.2	-1.17
Jordan Poole	41	42	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	2	-1	14.1	13.9	0.23	12.7	15.5	-2.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.68,0.68,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.77,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 112, DEN 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.59,0.61,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.73,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.95,0.86,0.97,0.76,0.58,1	91.3%
SEA 107, UTA 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.9,0.93,0.84,0.78,0.42,1	91.0%
TOR 94, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.79,0.84,0.42,1	90.7%