NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	94		Excitement	6.9 [456]		MVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): +18.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	96		Comeback	2.5 [702]		LVP	Mike James (TOR): -20.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0.18	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.04,0.18	-0.01	0.22	0.03	16	55%	0.30	4	-0.12	8	75%	-0.01
Matt Bonner	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	-0.00	4	83%	0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Jalen Rose	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.00	0.05	10	72%	0.12	1	-0.03	12	75%	0.04
Morris Peterson	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	61%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Joey Graham	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Rafael Araujo	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Mike James	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.2	0.04	-0.27	-0.03	12	61%	-0.11	2	-0.09	4	75%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,0.07,-0.07,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.10	0.00	16	61%	0.33	4	-0.21	4	100%	0.04
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	12	52%	0.13	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.10
Joel Przybilla	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	69%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	11	54%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Charles Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	60%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	1	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.06	10	64%	0.02	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	27.6	15.6	28.2	2.4	38.0	139.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +9.3%

POR +17.0%

POR +26.6%

TOR -3.4%

POR +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	POR	NBA	TOR	POR	NBA
this game	14.2	17.9	15.6	103.3	107.9	104.4
season	15.6	16.6		107.3	99.4
opponent	15.7	15.4		109.8	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.1	14.4	14.5	12.8	14.2
POR	16.2	19.2	19.0	17.2	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Villanueva	46	44	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.12	10	-12	22	12.7	15.7	-2.97	18.2	17.5	0.78
Jose Calderon	38	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-2	2	13.2	14.9	-1.63	18.4	17.5	0.85
Jalen Rose	63	62	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.45	10	-12	22	13.3	16.2	-2.88	18.4	16.6	1.76
Rafael Araujo	20	20	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	6	-14	16.4	13.5	2.90	15.8	18.4	-2.58
Matt Bonner	47	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-1	0	13.7	14.7	-0.91	19.5	16.1	3.45
Joey Graham	29	29	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	12	-26	16.3	13.2	3.07	16.3	18.6	-2.29
Mike James	76	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.49	1	-3	4	14.6	12.1	2.54	18.1	16.8	1.27
Morris Peterson	67	67	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	1	-4	14.2	14.2	-0.03	17.5	18.9	-1.34
Chris Bosh	69	68	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.44	-5	3	-8	14.8	12.2	2.58	17.1	20.4	-3.37

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juan Dixon	62	61	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.26	14	-12	26	17.4	19.0	-1.65	15.3	12.0	3.26
Steve Blake	62	65	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.40	4	-2	6	18.8	15.6	3.19	14.8	12.7	2.15
Joel Przybilla	40	41	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.12	13	-11	24	17.4	18.2	-0.87	15.3	13.3	1.97
Viktor Khryapa	65	67	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.33	6	-4	10	18.5	16.1	2.37	14.8	12.4	2.40
Jarrett Jack	33	35	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.46	-7	9	-16	17.1	18.3	-1.26	12.1	15.5	-3.41
Zach Randolph	74	75	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	-2	6	17.9	17.9	-0.02	14.8	11.2	3.64
Charles Smith	3	2	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	-1	4	4.0	18.3	-14.34	21.0	14.0	6.97
Sebastian Telfair	23	23	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.09	-4	6	-10	16.9	18.2	-1.27	11.7	15.0	-3.39
Travis Outlaw	40	42	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.16	-7	9	-16	17.4	18.2	-0.73	12.5	15.6	-3.09
Theo Ratliff	43	44	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.40	-16	18	-34	19.1	16.7	2.44	13.0	15.3	-2.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.79,0.84,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 85, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.63,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.78,0.94,0.73,1	93.2%
ATL 103, PHI 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.98,0.9,0.84,1	91.5%
PHI 107, WAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.87,0.74,0.82,0.92,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.88,0.86,0.78,0.91,0.73,1	91.2%