NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	103		Excitement	6.1 [568]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +26.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	108		Comeback	1.3 [1182]		LVP	Nazr Mohammed (ATL): -10.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DerMarr Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	63%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Alan Henderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	57%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	17	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.04
Dion Glover	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Toni Kukoc	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	11	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Crawford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Pepe Sanchez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	7	57%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.1	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	15	55%	-0.01	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.27	0.27	0.10	0.14	-0.03	30	64%	0.35	4	-0.09	14	93%	0.05
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	3	83%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	10	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	14	43%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	9	55%	-0.07	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.6	1.8	28.0	14.8	23.2	1.7	35.0	134.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +30.4%

ATL -4.2%

PHI +17.7%

PHI +7.0%

ATL -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	14.6	15.4	15.5	107.3	112.5	100.9
season	15.4	15.7		96.0	101.4
opponent	15.5	15.1		97.1	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.4	16.7	15.1	12.5	14.6
PHI	14.4	18.4	12.6	17.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pepe Sanchez	6	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-6	7	17.2	14.4	2.78	13.2	15.5	-2.28
Alan Henderson	29	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.11	3	-8	11	12.1	15.6	-3.47	15.9	15.2	0.68
Dion Glover	51	50	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.33	9	-14	23	13.6	15.6	-1.99	16.0	14.8	1.13
DerMarr Johnson	53	52	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.26	6	-11	17	14.4	14.7	-0.33	17.0	13.6	3.33
Nazr Mohammed	58	57	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.47	12	-17	29	13.5	16.2	-2.73	16.1	14.5	1.51
Hanno Mottola	33	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.29	4	-9	13	13.0	15.4	-2.33	16.0	15.2	0.83
Lorenzen Wright	22	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	6	-17	17.2	13.8	3.46	15.3	15.5	-0.18
Brevin Knight	55	58	-0.41	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	9	-23	14.9	14.1	0.85	15.4	15.5	-0.06
Chris Crawford	44	46	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.06	-13	8	-21	15.3	14.0	1.31	13.2	17.5	-4.39
Toni Kukoc	49	52	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.01	-16	11	-27	16.6	12.4	4.23	14.7	16.3	-1.54
Jason Terry	80	80	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.35	-6	1	-7	14.7	13.8	0.90	15.2	16.5	-1.27

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	80	81	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.25	14	-9	23	14.5	20.1	-5.55	14.9	12.6	2.33
George Lynch	74	73	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.20	13	-8	21	15.3	15.8	-0.43	15.3	12.1	3.26
Allen Iverson	87	87	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.36	7	-2	9	15.2	18.1	-2.95	14.6	14.0	0.62
Tyrone Hill	67	68	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.38	3	2	1	15.1	16.3	-1.25	14.2	15.5	-1.27
Eric Snow	73	72	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.20	4	1	3	15.8	14.2	1.66	14.5	14.7	-0.25
Kevin Ollie	20	20	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	1	3	13.5	15.9	-2.38	14.9	14.5	0.49
Jumaine Jones	29	30	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	8	-11	14.2	16.0	-1.81	12.2	15.6	-3.44
Aaron McKie	22	22	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.02	-2	7	-9	14.7	15.6	-0.92	14.5	14.6	-0.08
Todd MacCulloch	5	5	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	8	-11	28.6	14.7	13.89	16.0	14.5	1.52
Rodney Buford	23	22	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.13	-12	17	-29	20.9	13.7	7.20	14.4	14.6	-0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.98,0.9,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 109, DET 119	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.95,0.96,1,1,1	93.9%
IND 95, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.84,1	93.8%
GSW 91, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.87,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%