NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	109		Excitement	5.3 [747]		MVP	D.J. Augustin (DET): +12.7%
Detroit Pistons	119		Comeback	1.4 [511]		LVP	David West (IND): -18.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roy Hibbert	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	-0.00	0.01	10	63%	0.09	0	0.00	10	90%	0.03
Solomon Hill	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.00	0.02	8	67%	0.07	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Lavoy Allen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	6	83%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	64%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	12	54%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shayne Whittington	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
CJ Watson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	78%	0.10	4	-0.11	2	0%	-0.04
Luis Scola	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	13	52%	0.03	4	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
CJ Miles	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-0.02	12	25%	-0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.02	-0.02	8	78%	0.14	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.00	9	72%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.01	11	63%	0.11	1	-0.01	8	62%	-0.02
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	13	56%	0.11	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	12	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	12	62%	0.08	4	-0.08	8	25%	-0.06
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.03	7	56%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	45%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.5	24.6	17.3	29.3	1.7	30.4	128.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +32.3%

IND -11.5%

DET +3.2%

DET +25.0%

DET +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	15.2	13.7	15.1	110.1	117.8	104.2
season	16.0	15.7		102.3	104.0
opponent	15.3	15.0		105.0	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.0	15.8	14.4	13.6	15.2
DET	12.5	13.0	13.8	15.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Stuckey	40	40	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-12	14	15.3	15.0	0.33	13.4	13.8	-0.39
Luis Scola	50	50	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.20	7	-17	24	14.5	15.8	-1.24	14.4	12.9	1.46
Shayne Whittington	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-13	16	4.0	15.5	-11.50	20.3	13.5	6.87
Chris Copeland	6	5	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.03	1	-11	12	8.0	15.6	-7.61	21.2	13.3	7.93
Roy Hibbert	48	50	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-14	18	14.6	15.7	-1.10	13.6	13.7	-0.05
Donald Sloan	16	17	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-10	10	11.5	15.9	-4.36	16.5	13.1	3.45
George Hill	54	56	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.11	1	-11	12	15.4	14.8	0.60	13.9	13.4	0.52
CJ Miles	36	37	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-1	-8	16.8	14.2	2.60	13.3	13.9	-0.62
CJ Watson	68	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.19	-9	-1	-8	14.9	15.6	-0.67	13.3	14.5	-1.22
Lavoy Allen	38	39	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.02	-15	5	-20	16.4	14.4	1.97	13.6	13.7	-0.04
David West	59	60	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.02	-19	9	-28	15.9	14.0	1.89	12.7	15.0	-2.25
Solomon Hill	77	79	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.11	-16	6	-22	15.6	13.6	1.95	13.1	15.9	-2.81

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Monroe	65	65	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.05	17	-7	24	12.7	15.3	-2.59	15.9	13.6	2.29
Kyle Singler	49	46	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.04	16	-6	22	13.1	14.2	-1.01	15.3	15.1	0.20
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	71	69	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.15	11	-1	12	13.2	14.7	-1.47	15.6	14.2	1.41
Brandon Jennings	59	60	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.08	13	-3	16	13.9	13.3	0.61	14.8	15.6	-0.81
Joel Anthony	20	17	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	8	-6	14.9	13.3	1.60	13.2	15.6	-2.38
Andre Drummond	58	60	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	8	-6	13.2	14.3	-1.03	15.8	14.1	1.77
Jonas Jerebko	59	56	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.12	-1	11	-12	14.7	12.2	2.44	14.1	16.5	-2.45
D.J. Augustin	51	49	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.18	-4	14	-18	13.9	13.4	0.56	14.8	15.5	-0.62
Caron Butler	29	30	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	11	-12	14.3	13.4	0.86	15.9	14.8	1.07
Jodie Meeks	44	43	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	15	-20	13.9	13.5	0.40	14.6	15.6	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.95,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 80, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
UTA 91, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.2%
ATL 86, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%