NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	107		Excitement	8.5 [200]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +72.8%
Utah Jazz	109		Comeback	3.5 [462]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -15.2%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.48	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.06,0.01,0.21,0.21,0.48	0.07	0.41	0.00	19	63%	0.58	5	-0.10	14	93%	0.09
Rashard Lewis	0.44	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.53,0.44	0.15	0.28	-0.01	17	67%	0.47	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.10
Chris Wilcox	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	3	81%	0.07	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.02
Johan Petro	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mickael Gelabale	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.04	4	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	12	46%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.73	0.73	0.02	0.70	-0.01	10	60%	0.80	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.34	0.34	0.07	0.29	0.01	12	71%	0.44	4	-0.09	10	60%	-0.04
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.03	0.00	8	89%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	5	65%	0.07	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	61%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.07
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	69%	0.08	5	-0.12	4	50%	-0.02
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.14	-0.05	19	42%	-0.12	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	29.1	14.8	27.0	2.5	35.3	135.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +44.3%

SEA -13.7%

UTA +24.4%

SEA -6.3%

UTA +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	UTA	NBA	SEA	UTA	NBA
this game	13.5	15.4	15.4	107.0	110.1	104.5
season	15.4	15.9		105.5	107.4
opponent	15.0	15.4		104.9	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	11.2	15.4	16.0	12.0	13.5
UTA	16.0	17.3	12.3	16.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	46	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	1	-4	14.4	12.8	1.66	15.5	15.4	0.10
Chris Wilcox	89	87	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.42	9	-11	20	13.5	13.8	-0.31	16.1	10.2	5.97
Earl Watson	29	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	3	-8	12.4	14.0	-1.54	14.8	15.7	-0.88
Damien Wilkins	28	29	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	3	-8	13.2	13.7	-0.45	14.8	15.7	-0.83
Mickael Gelabale	22	22	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.18	-3	1	-4	11.5	14.1	-2.56	16.8	15.0	1.75
Ray Allen	87	85	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.49	7	-9	16	13.7	12.6	1.06	15.2	16.9	-1.68
Luke Ridnour	71	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.38	3	-5	8	14.0	12.4	1.54	15.7	14.8	0.88
Johan Petro	45	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	3	-8	13.3	13.7	-0.38	15.1	15.6	-0.50
Rashard Lewis	83	82	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.36	-8	6	-14	13.7	12.8	0.86	14.9	18.1	-3.26

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	73	72	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.37	8	-6	14	14.5	17.9	-3.40	14.4	11.2	3.18
Deron Williams	80	80	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	-4	10	14.9	17.6	-2.74	14.5	9.6	4.93
Matt Harpring	37	38	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	-6	14	16.2	14.9	1.28	12.6	14.1	-1.47
Andrei Kirilenko	72	74	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.52	-8	10	-18	15.2	16.0	-0.86	13.6	13.4	0.16
Mehmet Okur	57	57	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.41	-6	8	-14	15.2	15.7	-0.48	13.7	13.3	0.34
Gordan Giricek	12	12	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.02	7	-5	12	17.4	15.1	2.28	17.5	13.0	4.50
Jarron Collins	28	28	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	-2	6	15.4	15.4	-0.08	12.2	14.1	-1.89
Dee Brown	42	41	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	-1	4	15.8	15.1	0.69	12.0	14.6	-2.61
Derek Fisher	55	57	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.20	-8	10	-18	15.4	15.4	-0.03	12.9	14.4	-1.46
Paul Millsap	39	41	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.06	-4	6	-10	17.2	14.3	2.87	12.8	14.1	-1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.9,0.93,0.84,0.78,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 101, CHH 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.61,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.92,0.92,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.66,0.41,1	91.9%
CHI 102, LAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.79,0.68,0.58,1	91.2%
DET 96, BKN 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.59,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.81,0.89,0.73,1	91.2%