inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Seattle SuperSonics 107 Excitement8.5 [200] MVPMehmet Okur (UTA): +72.8%
Utah Jazz 109 Comeback3.5 [462] LVPDeron Williams (UTA): -15.2%


Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0.480,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.06,0.01,0.21,0.21,0.480.070.410.001963%0.585-0.101493%0.09
Rashard Lewis0.440,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.53,0.440.150.28-0.011767%0.471-0.036100%0.10
Chris Wilcox0.050,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.08-0.000.03381%0.071-0.021070%-0.02
Johan Petro0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.001100%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Earl Watson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.01-0.01636%-0.0000.002100%0.01
Mickael Gelabale-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00233%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Nick Collison-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00662%0.044-0.0810%-0.01
Luke Ridnour-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.04-0.001246%-0.022-0.05475%-0.00
Damien Wilkins-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.04-0.01540%-0.012-0.0600%0.00

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mehmet Okur0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.730.730.020.70-0.011060%0.802-0.0700%0.00
Carlos Boozer0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.340.340.070.290.011271%0.444-0.091060%-0.04
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.120.030.00889%0.181-0.022100%0.01
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.030.01565%0.0700.00786%0.03
Matt Harpring0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.030.030.010.00-0.01861%0.092-0.062100%0.07
Jarron Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.010.00540%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gordan Giricek0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.00669%0.085-0.12450%-0.02
Dee Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.10-0.01-0.0050%-0.081-0.0200%0.00
Deron Williams0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.15-0.15-0.06-0.14-0.051942%-0.122-0.03580%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.51.829.114.827.02.535.3135.9
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +44.3%
SEA -13.7%
UTA +24.4%
SEA -6.3%
UTA +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSEAUTANBASEAUTANBA
this game13.515.415.4107.0110.1104.5
season15.415.9105.5107.4
opponent15.015.4104.9108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SEA11.215.416.012.013.5
UTA16.017.312.316.315.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nick Collison4647-0.13-0.370.25-0.04-31-414.412.81.6615.515.40.10
Chris Wilcox8987-0.15-0.350.19-0.429-112013.513.8-0.3116.110.25.97
Earl Watson2930-0.21-0.290.08-0.06-53-812.414.0-1.5414.815.7-0.88
Damien Wilkins2829-0.25-0.250.00-0.10-53-813.213.7-0.4514.815.7-0.83
Mickael Gelabale2222-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.18-31-411.514.1-2.5616.815.01.75
Ray Allen8785-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.497-91613.712.61.0615.216.9-1.68
Luke Ridnour7169-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.383-5814.012.41.5415.714.80.88
Johan Petro4544-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.17-53-813.313.7-0.3815.115.6-0.50
Rashard Lewis8382-0.600.10-0.70-0.36-86-1413.712.80.8614.918.1-3.26

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carlos Boozer73720.61-0.110.710.378-61414.517.9-3.4014.411.23.18
Deron Williams80800.500.000.500.326-41014.917.6-2.7414.59.64.93
Matt Harpring37380.480.020.470.258-61416.214.91.2812.614.1-1.47
Andrei Kirilenko72740.280.220.060.52-810-1815.216.0-0.8613.613.40.16
Mehmet Okur57570.230.27-0.040.41-68-1415.215.7-0.4813.713.30.34
Gordan Giricek12120.190.31-0.13-0.027-51217.415.12.2817.513.04.50
Jarron Collins28280.160.34-0.180.044-2615.415.4-0.0812.214.1-1.89
Dee Brown42410.150.35-0.210.063-1415.815.10.6912.014.6-2.61
Derek Fisher5557-0.040.54-0.570.20-810-1815.415.4-0.0312.914.4-1.46
Paul Millsap3941-0.050.55-0.610.06-46-1017.214.32.8712.814.1-1.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.9,0.93,0.84,0.78,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 101, CHH 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.61,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.92,0.92,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.66,0.41,191.9%
CHI 102, LAC 1060.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.79,0.68,0.58,191.2%
DET 96, BKN 980.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.59,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.81,0.89,0.73,191.2%