NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	96		Excitement	8.5 [208]		MVP	Brook Lopez (BKN): +64.5%
Brooklyn Nets	98		Comeback	2.3 [219]		LVP	Jon Leuer (DET): -12.9%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.49	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.49	0.16	0.35	0.01	15	69%	0.49	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Ish Smith	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	-0.00	15	53%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.03	-0.04	0.06	-0.02	14	41%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.04
Reggie Bullock	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	9	39%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	12	48%	0.02	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.11	0.04	-0.14	0.01	17	53%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jon Leuer	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	7	12%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.22,0.65	0.65	0.13	0.54	0.02	24	58%	0.66	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.06
Caris LeVert	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.3	0.30	0.13	0.17	0.00	8	83%	0.30	0	0.00	2	100%	0.08
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	4	70%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.01	10	48%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
KJ McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	61%	0.09	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Randy Foye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	9	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Whitehead	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	9	32%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.3	23.5	15.4	25.3	1.8	32.5	124.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +43.2%

BKN +20.2%

DET -6.3%

DET -11.6%

BKN +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	BKN	NBA	DET	BKN	NBA
this game	14.3	16.2	14.8	101.1	104.3	107.7
season	15.0	13.7		105.0	103.2
opponent	14.4	15.1		109.6	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.0	15.2	14.0	15.1	14.3
BKN	15.8	14.8	17.3	16.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Leuer	43	43	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.18	9	-11	20	14.4	14.3	0.10	16.1	16.2	-0.10
Reggie Bullock	24	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	-1	0	16.1	13.7	2.37	15.5	16.4	-0.93
Ish Smith	56	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.52	10	-12	22	13.4	15.6	-2.25	16.4	15.9	0.51
Andre Drummond	56	56	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	4	-10	15.5	12.6	2.88	17.1	14.8	2.36
Aron Baynes	39	38	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.37	4	-6	10	12.6	15.5	-2.88	14.8	17.1	-2.36
Reggie Jackson	39	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.08	-12	10	-22	15.6	13.4	2.25	15.9	16.4	-0.51
Tobias Harris	73	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.45	0	-2	2	13.5	17.0	-3.55	16.4	15.5	0.93
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	71	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.46	-1	-1	0	13.7	16.1	-2.37	16.4	15.5	0.93
Marcus Morris	74	73	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.25	-13	11	-24	15.1	11.6	3.52	16.0	16.8	-0.82

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Acy	44	46	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.68	3	-1	4	16.5	15.9	0.66	15.3	13.3	2.00
Randy Foye	41	43	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.42	6	-4	10	16.0	16.3	-0.39	14.5	14.1	0.40
Caris LeVert	49	50	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.25	9	-7	16	16.5	15.8	0.71	14.2	14.5	-0.33
Brook Lopez	62	64	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.34	2	0	2	16.8	14.9	1.87	14.1	14.7	-0.63
Isaiah Whitehead	54	55	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.41	-4	6	-10	16.3	16.0	0.34	14.3	14.3	-0.06
Trevor Booker	28	27	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.05	2	0	2	15.3	16.5	-1.21	13.6	14.6	-1.06
KJ McDaniels	44	42	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.20	-5	7	-12	15.8	16.5	-0.66	14.3	14.3	-0.01
Archie Goodwin	38	36	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.12	-3	5	-8	15.8	16.4	-0.55	13.6	14.7	-1.13
Spencer Dinwiddie	56	58	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.07	3	-1	4	16.4	15.8	0.55	15.0	13.2	1.76
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	54	54	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.20	-3	5	-8	15.6	16.9	-1.36	13.8	15.0	-1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.59,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.81,0.89,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 78, DAL 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.89,0.9,1,1	93.2%
DET 85, CHH 93	0.5,0.5,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.67,0.59,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.73,0.89,0.84,0.94,0.99,1	92.7%
LAL 104, ORL 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.78,0.84,1	92.6%