NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	101		Excitement	8.3 [109]		MVP	Cameron Johnson (BKN): +38.4%
Toronto Raptors	94		Comeback	6.3 [66]		LVP	Jonathan Mogbo (TOR): -17.9%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cameron Johnson	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.03,0.11,0.38,0.38	0.22	0.23	0.07	15	79%	0.44	2	-0.06	12	92%	0.02
Noah Clowney	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	10	48%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Shake Milton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	10	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nic Claxton	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrese Martin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reece Beekman	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.08	0.01	7	57%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	9	57%	0.11	5	-0.18	3	67%	-0.01
Keon Johnson	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Day'Ron Sharpe	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	5	36%	-0.03	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Jalen Wilson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	11	22%	-0.15	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ochai Agbaji	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.06	0.01	16	62%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamison Battle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	11	59%	0.10	3	-0.09	5	80%	-0.00
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	5	30%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ja'Kobe Walter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	10	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Gradey Dick	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	14	59%	0.10	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.02	5	57%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Jamal Shead	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	7	36%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Mogbo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.05	-0.12	0.01	11	36%	-0.09	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	32.4	14.7	26.3	2.4	35.5	140.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +4.8%

BKN +12.0%

BKN +49.3%

TOR -16.4%

BKN +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	TOR	NBA	BKN	TOR	NBA
this game	16.2	14.9	14.3	109.8	101.1	112.0
season	15.4	13.8		110.8	109.1
opponent	14.7	14.2		116.3	115.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	16.3	17.2	17.4	14.3	16.2
TOR	13.7	14.9	14.7	16.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorian Finney-Smith	65	64	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.34	19	-12	31	14.9	19.4	-4.52	15.4	13.8	1.55
Ben Simmons	64	63	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.36	15	-8	23	15.1	18.8	-3.70	15.6	13.5	2.10
Shake Milton	56	58	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.32	10	-3	13	16.5	15.9	0.55	14.1	16.3	-2.19
Cameron Johnson	67	68	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.13	11	-4	15	15.5	18.4	-2.90	14.9	14.9	-0.04
Noah Clowney	71	71	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.35	2	5	-3	16.5	15.3	1.25	14.7	15.5	-0.86
Day'Ron Sharpe	18	21	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.05	1	6	-5	15.9	16.3	-0.38	14.4	15.0	-0.66
Nic Claxton	21	20	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.03	-2	9	-11	17.3	15.9	1.40	14.8	14.9	-0.05
Tyrese Martin	27	26	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	11	-15	18.4	15.4	3.05	14.4	15.1	-0.70
Reece Beekman	5	6	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.06	-3	10	-13	22.0	15.9	6.08	14.8	14.9	-0.06
Jalen Wilson	49	50	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.06	-8	15	-23	18.1	14.1	3.96	14.8	15.0	-0.11
Keon Johnson	17	18	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.01	-6	13	-19	15.3	16.5	-1.17	15.8	14.7	1.17

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamison Battle	35	34	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.01	6	-13	19	13.3	15.9	-2.58	17.1	15.8	1.28
Kelly Olynyk	36	36	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.00	6	-13	19	13.6	15.7	-2.18	16.6	16.1	0.50
Chris Boucher	34	34	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.03	3	-10	13	15.1	14.7	0.40	18.0	15.2	2.82
Scottie Barnes	70	71	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.22	1	-8	9	14.2	17.1	-2.97	16.7	14.6	2.18
Ja'Kobe Walter	47	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	2	-11	16.2	13.5	2.71	15.5	17.1	-1.57
Jamal Shead	49	45	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.24	-10	3	-13	15.2	14.5	0.66	16.7	15.8	0.90
Ochai Agbaji	70	70	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.36	-8	1	-9	15.0	14.6	0.43	15.6	18.3	-2.66
Gradey Dick	67	66	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.33	-11	4	-15	15.1	14.4	0.70	15.3	18.7	-3.40
Jonathan Mogbo	57	56	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.29	-13	6	-19	15.7	13.6	2.18	16.1	16.6	-0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 108, ATL 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.69,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.43,0.09,0	91.4%
IND 108, CHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.7,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.83,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.54,0.34,0.01,0	91.0%
LAL 97, PHX 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.67,0.68,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.38,0.54,0.67,0.27,0	91.0%