NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	108		Excitement	7.4 [354]		MVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): +22.9%
Atlanta Hawks	97		Comeback	6.3 [116]		LVP	Al Harrington (ATL): -10.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.23,0.23	0.01	0.24	0.02	11	50%	0.26	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.03
Darrick Martin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0.07	-0.00	0.08	-0.00	7	57%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Bosh	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.02	0.01	14	64%	0.21	3	-0.14	14	79%	-0.01
Mike James	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.19,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.01	0.05	17	67%	0.18	4	-0.13	8	75%	0.00
Eric Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	71%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Joey Graham	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.04	0.00	3	25%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.05
Rafael Araujo	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	12	46%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.02	7	64%	0.18	2	-0.07	14	86%	0.06
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	1	117%	0.14	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.08	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	14	55%	0.19	3	-0.17	5	80%	-0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	-0.07	0.02	12	59%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	13	51%	0.02	5	-0.12	9	67%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.5	30.5	15.3	28.5	2.3	32.5	137.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +44.9%

ATL -12.4%

TOR +8.9%

TOR +10.5%

ATL -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ATL	NBA	TOR	ATL	NBA
this game	15.7	13.9	15.6	110.2	100.0	104.4
season	15.6	15.6		107.3	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.4		109.3	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.7	16.1	14.1	15.0	15.7
ATL	13.6	13.2	14.2	14.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrick Martin	31	30	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.27	17	-6	23	16.0	15.5	0.45	13.7	13.9	-0.24
Chris Bosh	92	91	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-2	15	15.7	15.5	0.17	13.9	13.0	0.92
Charlie Villanueva	45	42	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.29	8	3	5	16.3	15.1	1.20	13.7	14.0	-0.31
Mike James	77	78	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.16	8	3	5	15.5	16.4	-0.91	13.9	13.7	0.23
Morris Peterson	81	80	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	7	-3	16.3	12.8	3.44	13.8	14.0	-0.16
Jalen Rose	47	47	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.01	7	4	3	14.4	16.9	-2.50	14.1	13.6	0.51
Eric Williams	24	23	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	8	-5	13.8	16.3	-2.42	13.4	14.0	-0.57
Matt Bonner	39	40	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.08	3	8	-5	14.0	16.8	-2.76	14.3	13.5	0.82
Joey Graham	30	29	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.04	-4	15	-19	17.9	14.7	3.22	13.4	14.0	-0.60
Rafael Araujo	24	25	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.04	-4	15	-19	16.9	15.3	1.66	13.7	13.9	-0.20

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	41	41	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.02	7	-18	25	14.7	13.2	1.46	14.7	16.4	-1.69
Royal Ivey	18	17	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.07	2	-13	15	13.6	13.9	-0.38	16.8	15.4	1.40
John Thomas	10	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-10	9	14.6	13.8	0.82	13.8	15.9	-2.08
Josh Childress	47	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	-5	-1	14.0	13.7	0.30	14.4	16.9	-2.47
Tyronn Lue	54	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	-5	-1	13.4	14.5	-1.16	15.6	15.7	-0.06
Josh Smith	66	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-7	3	13.7	14.2	-0.43	15.7	15.5	0.24
Joe Johnson	86	87	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-4	-3	13.7	15.5	-1.79	15.9	13.9	1.98
Salim Stoudamire	30	31	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.05	-15	4	-19	14.2	13.7	0.48	14.5	16.2	-1.73
Al Harrington	68	68	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.20	-12	1	-13	13.9	13.8	0.05	16.8	13.0	3.79
Zaza Pachulia	65	64	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.18	-13	2	-15	13.9	13.9	-0.01	16.2	14.6	1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.69,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.43,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 105, ORL 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.46,0.42,0.62,0.54,0.22,0.04,0	92.6%
MIL 91, TOR 86	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.53,0.71,0.62,0.45,0.57,0.28,0	91.8%
PHX 94, VAN 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.59,0.34,0.4,0.55,0.55,0.29,0.05,0	91.5%