NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	110		Excitement	8.5 [229]		MVP	Jalen Suggs (ORL): +37.7%
Orlando Magic	115		Comeback	4.8 [352]		LVP	Monte Morris (PHX): -9.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Royce O'Neale	0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.10	0.12	-0.02	10	80%	0.29	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.08	0.01	3	118%	0.27	3	-0.11	5	100%	0.03
Oso Ighodaro	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	5	50%	0.10	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Bol Bol	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.03	-0.02	12	69%	0.15	5	-0.16	2	50%	-0.03
Tyus Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.10	-0.12	0.01	16	62%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Josh Okogie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	21	49%	-0.01	3	-0.07	9	89%	0.01
Monte Morris	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	8	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Suggs	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.18,0.15,0.21,0.31,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.06	0.31	-0.01	18	60%	0.48	4	-0.10	7	86%	0.00
Caleb Houstan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.08	0.00	4	100%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.02	15	58%	0.18	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	57%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Jett Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	8	47%	0.06	3	-0.10	1	0%	-0.03
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.01	8	45%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Cole Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	14	50%	-0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tristan da Silva	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	7	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.3	27.4	14.5	27.2	1.7	43.1	142.6
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +19.9%

PHX -4.7%

ORL +0.4%

ORL +36.9%

PHX -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	ORL	NBA	PHX	ORL	NBA
this game	14.5	14.3	14.4	110.0	115.0	113.0
season	15.0	15.4		114.3	108.3
opponent	14.4	14.2		109.1	117.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.3	16.9	15.7	12.4	14.5
ORL	15.0	14.4	14.3	13.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Okogie	24	25	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.18	-2	-3	1	14.5	14.4	0.05	13.4	14.7	-1.31
Monte Morris	29	30	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.11	-2	-3	1	15.8	13.9	1.88	13.9	14.5	-0.63
Grayson Allen	47	46	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.09	-5	0	-5	15.8	13.3	2.46	13.1	15.4	-2.28
Bol Bol	11	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	0	-5	17.9	14.0	3.88	12.3	14.6	-2.27
Mason Plumlee	55	53	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	-1	-3	14.6	14.2	0.39	14.9	13.7	1.28
Oso Ighodaro	45	47	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-4	3	14.2	14.6	-0.39	13.7	14.9	-1.28
Royce O'Neale	64	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.44	0	-5	5	13.7	15.8	-2.15	15.0	13.2	1.83
Devin Booker	79	80	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	-4	3	14.1	15.7	-1.59	14.5	13.5	1.05
Tyus Jones	72	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.55	1	-6	7	13.8	16.1	-2.24	14.5	13.9	0.57
Bradley Beal	74	72	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.39	-6	1	-7	14.2	15.2	-0.94	15.0	12.7	2.21

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cole Anthony	61	60	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.26	17	-12	29	13.2	16.1	-2.89	14.9	13.8	1.14
Anthony Black	54	54	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.26	15	-10	25	13.8	15.0	-1.22	13.9	15.1	-1.12
Goga Bitadze	65	64	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.56	-1	6	-7	14.6	13.9	0.70	13.9	15.5	-1.58
Jalen Suggs	67	67	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.49	-2	7	-9	14.4	14.3	0.10	14.1	15.2	-1.17
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	69	69	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.44	-3	8	-11	15.0	12.8	2.27	14.3	14.9	-0.64
Wendell Carter Jr.	42	43	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.19	13	-8	21	14.2	14.4	-0.26	15.9	13.4	2.54
Jett Howard	31	31	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.09	8	-3	11	12.8	15.0	-2.27	14.9	14.3	0.64
Moritz Wagner	35	36	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.21	6	-1	7	13.9	14.6	-0.70	15.5	13.9	1.58
Tristan da Silva	39	40	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.09	-12	17	-29	16.1	13.2	2.89	13.8	14.9	-1.14
Caleb Houstan	37	36	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	0.15	-16	21	-37	15.3	13.8	1.48	14.2	14.6	-0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.45,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.25,0.33,0.47,0.4,0.54,0.67,0.81,0.84,0.76,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 96, SEA 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.6,0.62,0.84,1,1,1	90.6%
SAC 104, IND 116	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.24,0.37,0.53,0.76,0.82,0.96,0.98,1,1,1	90.6%
MIA 87, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.19,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.93,0.91,0.84,1	90.1%