NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	96		Excitement	7.2 [388]		MVP	Ray Allen (SEA): +38.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	107		Comeback	3.7 [686]		LVP	Marcus Banks (MIN): -11.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Blount	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.13	0.07	-0.02	13	77%	0.28	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.02	0.11	-0.01	17	50%	0.14	1	-0.00	8	87%	0.03
Rashad McCants	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.02	9	44%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.05	18	44%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	54%	0.05	1	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Trenton Hassell	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	14	47%	-0.03	5	-0.09	4	75%	0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.39	0.19	0.22	0.02	26	62%	0.43	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.04
Robert Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.13	-0.00	4	90%	0.21	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.04	0.08	-0.04	11	48%	0.22	3	-0.14	3	33%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	8	61%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	87%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	45%	0.03	1	-0.05	5	60%	-0.03
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.02	0.02	11	47%	0.03	4	-0.10	10	90%	0.02
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	7	14%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.6	29.2	16.6	27.0	1.8	35.0	136.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +32.8%

SEA +15.6%

SEA +5.7%

MIN -3.8%

MIN -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SEA	NBA	MIN	SEA	NBA
this game	16.7	14.0	15.6	102.1	115.1	104.4
season	16.1	15.0		101.0	108.9
opponent	15.8	15.9		112.2	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.7	16.5	19.2	16.7	16.7
SEA	16.0	14.8	12.1	13.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Reed	43	41	0.17	-0.67	0.85	0.17	0	-11	11	16.6	16.9	-0.34	12.6	15.2	-2.56
Marko Jaric	28	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.14	-8	-3	-5	17.4	16.5	0.87	12.6	14.7	-2.11
Trenton Hassell	46	46	-0.20	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	-2	-7	16.4	17.1	-0.65	16.0	12.1	3.87
Mark Blount	88	87	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-9	7	16.7	17.5	-0.81	13.7	18.5	-4.76
Marcus Banks	66	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-8	5	16.5	17.4	-0.87	14.7	12.6	2.11
Ricky Davis	91	90	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.19	-9	-2	-7	16.7	19.3	-2.67	13.8	22.3	-8.57
Rashad McCants	40	40	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.29	-6	-5	-1	17.9	15.9	2.05	13.0	14.8	-1.79
Kevin Garnett	68	68	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.19	-18	7	-25	16.6	17.2	-0.62	14.9	11.6	3.34

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	88	89	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.15	17	-6	23	14.0	15.2	-1.22	16.8	16.2	0.58
Robert Swift	28	28	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.17	13	-2	15	13.6	14.2	-0.67	16.8	16.7	0.11
Earl Watson	53	54	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.12	14	-3	17	12.8	15.6	-2.78	17.1	16.2	0.86
Rashard Lewis	81	81	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.23	9	2	7	14.3	12.2	2.06	16.8	16.2	0.60
Chris Wilcox	63	64	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.19	6	5	1	14.6	12.8	1.83	15.5	19.5	-4.00
Mikki Moore	36	36	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	7	-3	13.3	14.5	-1.25	18.3	15.8	2.48
Johan Petro	45	47	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	10	-9	13.7	14.4	-0.73	17.3	16.2	1.11
Damien Wilkins	26	26	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.07	0	11	-11	14.0	14.1	-0.06	16.4	16.9	-0.44
Luke Ridnour	45	45	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.09	-9	20	-29	15.6	12.6	2.97	16.2	17.2	-0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.6,0.62,0.84,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 81, UTA 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.32,0.41,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.9,0.95,1	92.5%
NJN 82, ORL 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.83,0.96,1	92.4%
LAL 89, NYK 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.85,0.89,0.98,1	92.0%